Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 18

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: San Marino Stadium (Serravalle)

Where to Watch on TV:


San-marino	San Marino RTV


	Juvenes-Dogana		Tre Fiori

	1	X	2
	8.6	3.8	1.37
	8.33	4.18	1.34
	8.62	4.48	1.34	Watch
	9.5	3.75	1.33
	10.2	4.15	1.31
	8.5	4	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.96 ↑ (5.86)	4.06 ↑ (4.05)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juvenes-Dogana
10.1%

Draw
22.3%

Tre Fiori
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

22.3%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

22%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juvenes-Dogana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juvenes-Dogana's form might have worsened.

Tre Fiori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tre Fiori's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juvenes-Dogana than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juvenes-Dogana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Fiori than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Juvenes Dogana - Tre Fiori Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Prandelli M. ⚽, Benedettini F. (A),
15', 0 - 2, Bernardi T. L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juvenes-Dogana won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Juvenes-Dogana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tre Fiori is the obvious favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Juvenes-Dogana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:21. (average 0.6:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Juvenes-Dogana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tre Fiori	4	3	0	1	14:5	9	9
10	Juvenes/Dogana	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juvenes-Dogana
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.01.26	Cosmos - Juvenes-Dogana	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Juvenes-Dogana - San Giovanni	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Pennarossa	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Folgore - Juvenes-Dogana	1:1 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
10.12.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Penne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WTTTW
- SP Tre Fiori
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.01.26	San Giovanni - Tre Fiori	0:4 ✺
San Marino Super Cup
23.12.25	Virtus - Tre Fiori	1:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
20.12.25	Tre Fiori - Faetano	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	AC Libertas - Tre Fiori	0:4 ✺
06.12.25	Tre Fiori - Murata	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.09.25	Tre Fiori - Juvenes-Dogana	1:0
09.03.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Fiori	0:1
25.02.24	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Fiori	2:1
05.11.23	Tre Fiori - Juvenes-Dogana	5:1
12.04.23	Tre Fiori - Juvenes-Dogana	4:1
18.12.22	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Fiori	0:1
20.04.22	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Fiori	0:3

Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Fiori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide