Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 16

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: San Marino Stadium (Serravalle)


	Juvenes-Dogana		San Giovanni

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.05	3.25
	2.11	3.17	3.36	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.08	3.08	3.38
	2.1	3	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.94)	3.04 ↓ (3.38)	3.32 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juvenes-Dogana
43.1%

Draw
29.7%

San Giovanni
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

27.2%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.6%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juvenes-Dogana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

San Giovanni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juvenes-Dogana than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juvenes-Dogana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Juvenes Dogana - San Giovanni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, Tiraferri L. ⚽, Palumbo A. (A),
81', 1 - 1, Aprea M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).

In recent matches, Juvenes-Dogana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

San Giovanni is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Juvenes-Dogana might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juvenes-Dogana won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Juvenes-Dogana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Juvenes/Dogana	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3
13	San Giovanni	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juvenes-Dogana
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.12.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Pennarossa	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Folgore - Juvenes-Dogana	1:1 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
10.12.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Penne	1:0 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
06.12.25	Juvenes-Dogana - AC Libertas	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Juvenes-Dogana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTWLW
- SS San Giovanni
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
20.12.25	Domagnano - San Giovanni	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	San Marino Academy U22 - San Giovanni	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	San Giovanni - La Fiorita	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Faetano - San Giovanni	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	San Giovanni - Folgore	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
29.08.25	San Giovanni - Juvenes-Dogana	0:0
13.01.24	San Giovanni - Juvenes-Dogana	2:3
12.03.23	San Giovanni - Juvenes-Dogana	0:1
12.11.22	Juvenes-Dogana - San Giovanni	1:2
03.04.22	Juvenes-Dogana - San Giovanni	4:1

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