Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 7

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta)


	Juventud Antoniana		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.9	2.4
	2.28	2.88	3.05
	2.21	2.81	3.62
	2.41	2.64	3.55	Watch
	2.35	2.82	3.45
	2.82	3	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.87)	2.84 ↓ (2.93)	3.09 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud Antoniana
37.5%

Draw
32.6%

Atlético de Rafaela
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

30.9%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

30.6%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud Antoniana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juventud Antoniana's performance.

Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético de Rafaela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Antoniana than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juventud Antoniana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Rafaela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Juventud Antoniana - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Atlético Rafaela (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Rafaela (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perrone F. (G) 4. Berizovsky A. 10. Esparza M. 9. Franzoni J. 8. Frutos S. 2. Lopez J. 7. Mamani M. 11. Palacios J. 6. Sanabria I. 5. Vargas M. 3. Viano L.	1. Bilbao E. (G) 10. Affranchino F. 9. Albertengo L. 2. Fernandez G. 4. Fuyana J. 8. Jaime D. 7. Leineker C. 11. Marchiori T. 6. Ponce F. 5. Soloa F. 3. Utrera N.
Substitutes
14. Arevalos I. 16. Arraya L. 13. Carrion A. 17. Figueroa J. 20. Hoyos M. 12. Montero M. (G) 19. Puntano G. 15. Romero E. M. 18. Taborda G.	20. Alfano A. 19. Aquino D. 12. Bergia M. (G) 15. Capurro J. 16. Miranda B. 17. Pastorelli A. 18. Protti I. 13. Stizza J. 14. Varela N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Albertengo L. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
23', Soloa F. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Franzoni J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Berizovsky A. ↓, Carrion A. ↑,
46', Soloa F. ↓, Capurro J. ↑,
63', Fernandez G. 🟨,
64', Jaime D. ↓, Protti I. ↑,
64', Aquino D. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,
70', Lopez J. 🟨,
74', Frutos S. ↓, Arevalos F. ↑,
78', Marchiori T. ↓, Alfano A. ↑,
81', 🟨,
90', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Juventud Antoniana has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Atlético Rafaela is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Atlético Rafaela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Juventud Antoniana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Juventud Antoniana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud Antoniana
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.08.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Juventud Antoniana	3:2 ✺
17.08.25	Juventud Antoniana - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
01.08.25	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:1 ✺
27.07.25	9 de Julio - Juventud Antoniana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLWL
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.08.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Douglas Haig - Atlético de Rafaela	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela	0:0 ✺
20.07.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.05.25	Juventud Antoniana - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0
22.03.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Juventud Antoniana	1:0

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