Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 6

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Oscar C. Boero (San Francisco)


	Sportivo Belgrano		Juventud Antoniana

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.3	4.33
	1.82	2.98	4.45	Watch
	1.75	3.02	4.93
	1.81	3.19	4.80	Watch
	1.82	3.38	4.5	Watch
	1.71	3.37	4.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.72)	3.21 ↓ (3.31)	4.6 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Belgrano
51.6%

Draw
28.5%

Juventud Antoniana
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27.4%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

27%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Juventud Antoniana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Antoniana than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Sportivo Belgrano - Juventud Antoniana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roggero S. (G) 6. Alessandria C. 9. Attis T. 11. Avaro E. 2. Camisassa B. 4. Ferreyra L. 5. Gimenez J. 8. Hang F. 3. Pennesi T. 7. Rossi J. 10. Sagristani M.	1. Perrone F. (G) 4. Arevalo F. 2. Berizovsky A. 10. Esparza M. 9. Franzoni J. 7. Mamani M. 8. Palacios J. 6. Sanabria I. 11. Taborda G. 3. Torres D. 5. Vargas M.
Substitutes
20. Brylko H. 13. Coceres G. 15. Cortizo P. 17. Franceschi E. 16. Franco D. 18. Jaime J. 19. Lehmann A. 12. Martina L. (G) 14. Nallim T.	16. Arraya L. 13. Carrion A. 15. Figueroa J. 18. Frutos S. 20. Hoyos M. 12. Montero M. (G) 19. Puntano G. 14. Romero E. M. 17. Viano L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Franzoni J. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Vargas M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Sagristani M. ↓, Jaime J. ↑,
48', Arevalo F. 🟨,
49', 1 - 1, Avaro E. (Pen),
63', Taborda G. ↓, Viano L. ↑,
64', Rossi J. ↓, Brylko H. ↑,
64', Hang F. ↓, Franceschi E. ↑,
69', Torres D. ↓, Carrion A. ↑,
76', Frutos S. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Alessandria C. ⚽,
83', 2 - 2, Franzoni J. ⚽,
87', Esparza M. ↓, Frutos S. ↑,
87', Franzoni J. ↓, Puntano G. ↑,
88', Pennesi T. ↓, Cortizo P. ↑,
88', Gimenez J. ↓, Lehmann A. ↑,
89', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,
90+10', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Sportivo Belgrano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Juventud Antoniana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Juventud Antoniana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sportivo Belgrano is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Belgrano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Sportivo Belgrano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.08.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Belgrano	2:3 ✺
10.08.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Sportivo Belgrano - General San Martín de Formosa	3:0 ✺
11.07.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWT
- Juventud Antoniana
Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.08.25	Juventud Antoniana - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
01.08.25	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:1 ✺
27.07.25	9 de Julio - Juventud Antoniana	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Juventud Antoniana - Bartolomé Mitre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.07.22	Juventud Antoniana - Sportivo Belgrano	3:1
24.04.22	Sportivo Belgrano - Juventud Antoniana	0:1

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