Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - ROUND 24

Date: 2 August 2023, Wednesday


	Juventud Unida Universitario		Sportivo Peñarol

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.5	5.75
	1.5	3.5	6.5
	1.51	3.67	7.33
	1.49	3.64	7.1
	1.5	3.65	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.58)	3.59 ↑ (3.4)	6.58 ↑ (6.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud Unida Universitario
60.7%

Draw
25.4%

Sportivo Peñarol
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

27%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

26.2%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud Unida Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Sportivo Peñarol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Unida Universitario than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Juventud Unida Universitario - Sportivo Peñarol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventud Unida Universitario won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sportivo Peñarol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Juventud Unida Universitario is absolute favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Juventud Unida Universitario won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventud Unida Universitario won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud Unida Universitario
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.07.23	Ciudad de Bolívar - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:1 ✺
23.07.23	Juventud Unida Universitario - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:1 ✺
16.07.23	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Juventud Unida Universitario	0:0 ✺
08.07.23	Juventud Unida Universitario - Ferro Gen.Pico	2:1 ✺
03.07.23	Atenas Río Cuarto - Juventud Unida Universitario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTWT
- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.07.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:3 ✺
15.07.23	Argentino Monte Maíz - Sportivo Peñarol	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:1 ✺
02.07.23	Ferro Gen.Pico - Sportivo Peñarol	2:0 ✺
28.06.23	Atenas Río Cuarto - Sportivo Peñarol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
10.06.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:0
16.04.23	Juventud Unida Universitario - Sportivo Peñarol	1:0
03.09.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:1
29.05.22	Juventud Unida Universitario - Sportivo Peñarol	0:0
19.09.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:2
19.06.21	Juventud Unida Universitario - Sportivo Peñarol	0:0
17.11.19	Sportivo Peñarol - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:0

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