Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - ROUND 22

Date: 24 July 2023, Monday


	Sportivo Peñarol		Ciudad de Bolívar

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.87	2.15
	3.8	2.75	2.05
	3.53	2.75	2.32
	3.75	3	2
	3.45	2.94	2.19
	3.5	2.9	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↓ (4.31)	2.87 ↓ (3.1)	2.14 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sportivo Peñarol
25.7%

Draw
31.8%

Ciudad de Bolívar
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

29.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

30.1%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Peñarol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Ciudad de Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ciudad de Bolívar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Peñarol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ciudad de Bolívar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Sportivo Peñarol - Ciudad de Bolívar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sportivo Peñarol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ciudad de Bolívar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.07.23	Argentino Monte Maíz - Sportivo Peñarol	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:1 ✺
02.07.23	Ferro Gen.Pico - Sportivo Peñarol	2:0 ✺
28.06.23	Atenas Río Cuarto - Sportivo Peñarol	1:2 ✺
24.06.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Huracán Las Heras	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 TTLWW
- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.07.23	Ciudad de Bolívar - Argentino Monte Maíz	0:0 ✺
02.07.23	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
28.06.23	Ferro Gen.Pico - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Ciudad de Bolívar - Atenas Río Cuarto	3:1 ✺
17.06.23	Huracán Las Heras - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.05.23	Ciudad de Bolívar - Sportivo Peñarol	1:0
02.04.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0
09.10.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Ciudad de Bolívar	3:0
26.06.22	Ciudad de Bolívar - Sportivo Peñarol	1:1
24.10.21	Ciudad de Bolívar - Sportivo Peñarol	3:1
25.07.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:1

Upcoming Matches