Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - ROUND 19

Date: 2 July 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ferro Gen.Pico		Sportivo Peñarol

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.7	6.25
	1.45	3.5	7
	1.46	3.16	6.38
	1.5	3.75	6
	1.47	3.75	7.2
	1.47	3.7	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.71)	3.59 ↑ (3.05)	6.61 ↑ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Gen.Pico
61.3%

Draw
25.1%

Sportivo Peñarol
13.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.7%

29.6%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

29.6%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Gen.Pico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferro Gen.Pico's performance.

Sportivo Peñarol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Gen.Pico than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferro Gen.Pico that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (+4%)

Ferro Gen.Pico - Sportivo Peñarol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 7 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferro Gen.Pico won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sportivo Peñarol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ferro Gen.Pico is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ferro Gen.Pico won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferro Gen.Pico won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Gen.Pico
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.23	Ferro Gen.Pico - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Argentino Monte Maíz - Ferro Gen.Pico	3:1 ✺
18.06.23	Ferro Gen.Pico - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:0 ✺
04.06.23	Atenas Río Cuarto - Ferro Gen.Pico	3:1 ✺
28.05.23	Ferro Gen.Pico - Huracán Las Heras	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLL
- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.23	Atenas Río Cuarto - Sportivo Peñarol	1:2 ✺
24.06.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Huracán Las Heras	2:0 ✺
17.06.23	San Martín de Mendoza - Sportivo Peñarol	1:0 ✺
10.06.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:0 ✺
28.05.23	Ciudad de Bolívar - Sportivo Peñarol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.03.23	Ferro Gen.Pico - Sportivo Peñarol	2:0
10.09.22	Ferro Gen.Pico - Sportivo Peñarol	3:0
05.06.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Ferro Gen.Pico	1:0
25.08.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Ferro Gen.Pico	1:1
30.04.21	Ferro Gen.Pico - Sportivo Peñarol	3:2
07.02.20	Ferro Gen.Pico - Sportivo Peñarol	1:0
14.09.19	Sportivo Peñarol - Ferro Gen.Pico	0:0

Ferro Gen.Pico - Sportivo Peñarol

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Ferro Gen.Pico - Sportivo Peñarol Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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