Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 16

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Juventud de Torremolinos		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.4	3.1
	1.9	3.5	3.5
	1.9	3.41	3.56
	1.88	3.43	3.56
	1.87	3.54	3.54
	1.9	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.66)	3.46 ↓ (3.54)	3.46 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Torremolinos
47.6%

Draw
26.2%

Real Jaén
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

25.6%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

24.5%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Torremolinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventud de Torremolinos's form might have worsened.

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Jaén's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventud de Torremolinos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Jaén, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Juventud de Torremolinos is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Juventud de Torremolinos won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventud de Torremolinos won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
17.12.23	Torreperogil - Juventud de Torremolinos	4:0 ✺
02.12.23	Huétor Vega - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
25.11.23	Juventud de Torremolinos - Huétor Tájar	4:0 ✺
19.11.23	Arenas Armilla - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Juventud de Torremolinos - Rincón	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWWW
- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
17.12.23	Real Jaén - Torredonjimeno	4:1 ✺
03.12.23	Real Jaén - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén	3:1 ✺
19.11.23	Real Jaén - Mancha Real	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Atlético Melilla - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
30.01.22	Real Jaén - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2
10.10.21	Juventud de Torremolinos - Real Jaén	4:1
14.04.19	Juventud de Torremolinos - Real Jaén	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
03.02.18	Juventud de Torremolinos - Real Jaén	1:0

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