Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday


	Torre Del Mar		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	2.85
	2.47	2.9	2.85
	2.67	2.95	2.97
	2.62	2.72	2.95	Watch
	2.63	2.72	2.93
	2.47	2.9	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2)	2.82 ↓ (3.28)	2.9 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torre Del Mar
35.9%

Draw
32.5%

Real Jaén
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

26.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torre Del Mar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torre Del Mar's form might have worsened.

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torre Del Mar than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torre Del Mar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Jaén, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Ariza P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torre Del Mar won 2.

Torre Del Mar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jaén has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Torre Del Mar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Torre Del Mar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Torre Del Mar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Torre Del Mar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
25.05.25	Motril - Torre Del Mar	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Torre Del Mar - Motril	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Torre Del Mar - Huétor Tájar	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Torredonjimeno - Torre Del Mar	1:2 ✺
01.05.25	Torre Del Mar - Atlético Porcuna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWTWT
- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
25.05.25	Real Jaén - Huétor Tájar	1:1 ET ✺
18.05.25	Huétor Tájar - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Real Jaén - Malaga B	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	Torreperogil - Real Jaén	0:0 ✺
01.05.25	Real Jaén - Málaga Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
09.03.25	Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén	1:2
26.05.24	Real Jaén - Torre Del Mar	0:0 ET
19.05.24	Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén	1:1
14.04.24	Real Jaén - Torre Del Mar	3:0
25.11.23	Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén	3:1
15.01.23	Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén	2:1
18.09.22	Real Jaén - Torre Del Mar	3:0

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