Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 28

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Real Jaén		Torredonjimeno

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.33	7.75
	1.36	4.2	8
	1.35	4.3	8.75
	1.42	4.17	8.02
	1.36	4.2	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.51)	4.24 ↑ (3.6)	8.1 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
67.1%

Draw
21.6%

Torredonjimeno
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

24.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Jaén's performance.

Torredonjimeno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Jaén that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torredonjimeno than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Real Jaén - Torredonjimeno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Segura J. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 0, Adri P. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jaén won 2.

Jaén is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Torredonjimeno is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jaén could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Jaén is certain favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Jaén won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:10 (average 1.7:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Jaén won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.8:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
23.03.25	Atlético Porcuna - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Real Jaén - Motril	1:3 ✺
09.03.25	Torre Del Mar - Real Jaén	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Real Jaén - El Ejido	5:1 ✺
23.02.25	Huétor Vega - Real Jaén	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWT
- UD Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
23.03.25	Torredonjimeno - Mancha Real	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Torredonjimeno	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Torredonjimeno - Malaga B	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Torreperogil - Torredonjimeno	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Torredonjimeno - Málaga Juniors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
17.11.24	Torredonjimeno - Real Jaén	1:3
Club Friendly
28.08.24	Torredonjimeno - Real Jaén	3:3
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
01.05.24	Torredonjimeno - Real Jaén	1:1
17.12.23	Real Jaén - Torredonjimeno	4:1
19.02.23	Real Jaén - Torredonjimeno	0:0
23.10.22	Torredonjimeno - Real Jaén	0:1
13.03.22	Real Jaén - Torredonjimeno	1:1

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