Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Juventud de Torremolinos		Xerez Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.87	2.9	4.1
	1.85	3	4.4
	1.82	3.1	4.61	Watch
	1.85	3.19	4.63
	1.9	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.67)	3.04 ↓ (3.25)	4.39 ↓ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Torremolinos
49.1%

Draw
30.1%

Xerez Deportivo
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

28.2%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

26.9%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Torremolinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventud de Torremolinos's form might have worsened.

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventud de Torremolinos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Juventud de Torremolinos - Xerez Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Gomez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 1 - 1, Castillo F. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Penarroya C. ⚽,

Preview

Torremolinos is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Xerez Deportivo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Torremolinos is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Torremolinos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Torremolinos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.01.25	Don Benito - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
21.12.24	Minera - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - San Fernando	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Almeria B - Juventud de Torremolinos	0:2 ✺
01.12.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLWW
- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.01.25	Xerez Deportivo - Estepona	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.25	Xerez Deportivo - Betis B	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.12.24	Xerez Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	0:2 ✺
15.12.24	Xerez CD - Xerez Deportivo	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Don Benito - Xerez Deportivo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.09.24	Xerez Deportivo - Juventud de Torremolinos	1:1
14.05.23	Xerez Deportivo - Juventud de Torremolinos	3:1
14.01.23	Juventud de Torremolinos - Xerez Deportivo	1:0

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