Match Info

Date: 1 November 2020, Sunday


	Juventude		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2	3	3.6
	2.08	2.7	3.8
	2.04	3	3.75
	2.06	3.18	4.27
	2.05	3.1	3.7
	2.06	3.32	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.04)	3.09 ↑ (2.98)	3.77 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
45.5%

Draw
30%

Guaraní Asuncion
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

31%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

20.2%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juventude that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	32.1%	17.9%

Juventude - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 14 - 50%). Guaraní will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 32.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventude: 31.5% – 68.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Juventude could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Juventude will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Juventude won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventude won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Copa do Brasil
29.10.20	Grêmio - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
25.10.20	Figueirense - Juventude	1:1 ✺
20.10.20	Juventude - Avaí	3:0 ✺
16.10.20	Cruzeiro - Juventude	0:0 ✺
10.10.20	Juventude - Brasil de Pelotas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWTL
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
25.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Avaí	2:1 ✺
22.10.20	Vitória Salvador - Guaraní Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.10.20	Bolívar - Guaraní Asuncion	2:3 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.10.20	Sol de América - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
13.09.18	Guaraní Asuncion - Juventude	1:0
01.06.18	Juventude - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0
20.10.17	Guaraní Asuncion - Juventude	2:0
08.07.17	Juventude - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0
Brazilian Serie C
08.08.16	Guaraní Asuncion - Juventude	1:1
04.06.16	Juventude - Guaraní Asuncion	0:2
22.08.15	Guaraní Asuncion - Juventude	1:1

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