Match Info

Date: 22 October 2020, Thursday


	Vitória Salvador		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.6	Watch
	2	3.1	3.5
	2.02	3.05	3.45
	2	3.15	3.65
	2.05	3.38	3.99
	2	3.2	3.8
	2.03	3.38	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.95)	3.19 ↓ (3.24)	3.67 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
45.9%

Draw
28.9%

Guaraní Asuncion
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

29.2%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

19.2%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória Salvador that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaraní Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vitória Salvador - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation to Serie C).

Vitória is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Guaraní is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vitória will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vitória won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
17.10.20	Chapecoense - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
10.10.20	Vitória Salvador - Avaí	1:2 ✺
06.10.20	Vitória Salvador - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
02.10.20	Operário Ferroviario - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
29.09.20	Vitória Salvador - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLLTL
- Guaraní Asuncion
Copa Libertadores
21.10.20	Bolívar - Guaraní Asuncion	2:3 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.10.20	Sol de América - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
13.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - Cuiabá	1:0 ✺
10.10.20	Guaraní Asuncion - CRB Maceio	3:1 ✺
06.10.20	Ponte Preta - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
14.09.19	Vitória Salvador - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1
13.05.19	Guaraní Asuncion - Vitória Salvador	3:2
15.09.12	Guaraní Asuncion - Vitória Salvador	0:0
12.06.12	Vitória Salvador - Guaraní Asuncion	N/A

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