Match Info

Serie B - Round 31

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: Pfleger J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, SportyNet, Xsports


	Juventude		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.50	5.50	Watch
	1.63	3.50	5.00
	1.73	3.40	5.00	Watch
	1.69	3.74	5.71
	1.68	3.67	5.1
	1.67	3.65	5.40
	1.69	3.50	5.23	Watch
	1.69	3.55	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.75)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	5.23 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
55.9%

Draw
26.3%

Operário Ferroviario
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

27.4%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

28.4%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Juventude - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jandrei (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Messias 47. Marcos Paulo 13. Aderlan 75. Rai Silva 29. Gabriel Pires 44. Mandaca 30. Patryck 11. Fabio Lima 25. Alisson Safira	33. Vagner (G) 2. Mikael Doka 22. Cuenu J. 43. Joseph 27. Gabriel Feliciano 39. Matheus Trindade 20. Vinicius Diniz 14. Pereira H. 10. Boschilia (C) 11. Aylon 99. Caio Dantas
Substitutes
9. Alan Kardec 18. Amarilla L. 17. Castro M. 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 70. Juan Christian 5. Luan Martins 8. Lucas Mineiro 10. MP 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 2. Rai Ramos 3. Titi 6. Wadson	21. Brenno Pereira 32. Charles Raphael 1. Elias Curzel (G) 5. Indio 4. Klaus 26. Maguinho 16. Miranda 6. Moraes 88. Neto Paraiba 30. Pedro Vilhena 9. Vinicius Mingotti 8. Zuluaga J.
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri	Luizinho Lopes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Gabriel Pires ⚽,
25', Mandaca 🟨,
27', Mikael Doka 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Fabio Lima ⚽, Aderlan (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mikael Doka ↓, Maguinho ↑,
46', Aylon ↓, Moraes ↑,
56', 3 - 0, Marcos Paulo ⚽, Mandaca (A),
60', Mandaca ↓, MP ↑,
60', Marcos Paulo ↓, Gabriel Pinheiro ↑,
68', Pereira H. ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
69', Caio Dantas ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
69', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
70', Gabriel Feliciano 🟨,
70', Gabriel Pires ↓, Luan Martins ↑,
71', Fabio Lima ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
82', Patryck ↓, Wadson ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Playoffs - Final) and 8th).

Juventude has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Operário PR shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Juventude for this game.

Confirmed absences for Juventude: Allanzinho (Knee Injury) Diogo Barbosa (Yellow Cards).

Doubtful / questionable for Operário PR: Pablo (Inactive).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Juventude has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:5 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Juventude against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	18	59
9	Operario-PR	32	13	9	10	44:43	1	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
28.09.26	América Mineiro - Juventude	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Sport Recife - Juventude	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Juventude - Athletic Club	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Criciúma - Juventude	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Juventude - Atlético Goianiense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLWT
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
26.09.26	Operário Ferroviario - Ceará	2:2 ✺
22.09.26	Criciúma - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Operário Ferroviario	3:3 ✺
09.09.26	Operário Ferroviario - CRB Maceio	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.06.26	Operário Ferroviario - Juventude	2:1
22.12.20	Operário Ferroviario - Juventude	3:0
29.09.20	Juventude - Operário Ferroviario	1:0

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