Match Info

Serie B - Round 30

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Disney+, RedeTV!


	Operário Ferroviario		Ceará

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.30	3.80	Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.40
	2.14	3.20	3.45
	2.06	3.41	3.99
	2.11	3.27	3.53
	1.99	3.35	3.95
	1.99	3.29	3.79	Watch
	2.06	3.20	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.14)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	3.68 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
45.8%

Draw
28.7%

Ceará
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

29.2%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28.9%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Operário Ferroviario - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Operário PR (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Operário PR (1.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Operário PR (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Vagner (G) 2. Mikael Doka 4. Klaus 16. Miranda 27. Gabriel Feliciano 20. Vinicius Diniz 39. Matheus Trindade 77. Maxwell 10. Boschilia (C) 14. Pereira H. 99. Caio Dantas	1. Richard (G) 18. Julio Cesar 4. Luiz Otavio 13. Luiz Otavio (C) 12. Sanchez 81. Joao Gabriel 16. Rian Santana 60. Enzo Lodovico 40. Melk 31. Bryan Borges 73. Saulo Mineiro
Substitutes
11. Aylon 32. Charles Raphael 1. Elias Curzel (G) 5. Indio 26. Maguinho 6. Moraes 88. Neto Paraiba 17. Nicolas 30. Pedro Vilhena 34. Renan Gustavo 9. Vinicius Mingotti 8. Zuluaga J.	23. Caique Franca (G) 33. Eder 7. Giovanni Pavani 41. Gustavo Martins (G) 44. Kaiky 77. Lenny Lobato 10. Lucas Mugni 99. Lucca 8. Matheus Araujo 2. Ramos R. 6. Savio 29. Vina
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes	Daniel Paulista

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Boschilia ⚽,
42', Maxwell ↓, Aylon ↑,
45+2', Julio Cesar 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Enzo Lodovico ↓, Matheus Araujo ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Caio Dantas ⚽, Vinicius Diniz (A),
61', Rian Santana ↓, Vina ↑,
64', Boschilia ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
65', Caio Dantas ↓, Moraes ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Matheus Araujo ⚽, Melk (A),
77', 2 - 2, Vina ⚽, Luiz Otavio (A),
82', Pereira H. ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
82', Matheus Trindade ↓, Indio ↑,
86', Sanchez 🟨,
89', Bryan Borges 🟨,
90', Melk ↓, Lucas Mugni ↑,
90+5', Moraes 🟨,
90+6', Joao Gabriel ↓, Giovanni Pavani ↑,
90+6', Bryan Borges ↓, Eder ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ PlayoffsFinal) and 15th).

Operário PR has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Ceará have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ceará could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Operário PR has faced a series of away games on the road.

Operário PR is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Operário PR: Cuenu J. (Yellow Cards) Joseph (Yellow Cards) Maguinho (Inactive) Vinicius Mingotti (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Ceará: Eder (Knee Injury) Gilmar (Injury) Lopez R. (Inactive) Matheus Nogueira (Inactive) Richardson (Yellow Cards) Thalisson (Knee Injury) Vinicius Zanocelo (Thigh Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Operário PR: Pablo (Inactive).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Operário PR has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Operário PR against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Operario-PR: 0.3% Ceara: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Operario-PR	32	13	9	10	44:43	1	48
14	Ceara	32	11	9	12	35:39	-4	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
22.09.26	Criciúma - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
15.09.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Operário Ferroviario	3:3 ✺
09.09.26	Operário Ferroviario - CRB Maceio	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Fortaleza - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WTWWT
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
18.09.26	Ceará - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Fortaleza - Ceará	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Atlético Goianiense - Ceará	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Ceará - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Vila Nova - Ceará	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
31.05.26	Ceará - Operário Ferroviario	1:2
08.09.24	Ceará - Operário Ferroviario	2:1
19.05.24	Operário Ferroviario - Ceará	0:0

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