Match Info

Serie B - Round 28

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: Sampaio S. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, SportyNet, Xsports
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Juventude		Athletic Club

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	6.5	Watch
	1.66	3.30	5.25
	1.6	3.4	5.9	Watch
	1.63	3.56	6.88
	1.69	3.39	5.62	Watch
	1.61	3.5	6.6
	1.61	3.39	6.49	Watch
	1.61	3.45	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.73)	3.42 ↑ (3.3)	6.13 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
57.5%

Draw
27.3%

Athletic Club
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

28.2%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

27.9%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Athletic Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Juventude - Athletic Club Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jandrei (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 47. Marcos Paulo 44. Mandaca 13. Aderlan 75. Rai Silva 5. Luan Martins 16. Diogo Barbosa 25. Alisson Safira 10. MP	1. Luan Polli (G) 22. Diogo Batista 3. Jhonatan Silva 4. Belezi (C) 6. Marcelo Henrique 16. Joao Miguel 11. Max 5. Felipe Negrucci 17. Kauan Rodrigues 21. Vera D. 9. Carlinhos
Substitutes
9. Alan Kardec 28. Alan Ruschel 18. Amarilla L. 11. Fabio Lima 29. Gabriel Pires 70. Juan Christian 72. Lucas Alves 8. Lucas Mineiro 7. Pablo Roberto 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 2. Rai Ramos 6. Wadson	20. Aponza W. 18. Assis 7. Bruninho 8. Cabezas G. 2. Douglas Pele 15. Jota 10. Kauan Lindes 13. Philipe Sampaio 19. Pool J. 12. Tony (G) 14. Yago Santos 23. Yarlen
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri	Alex Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
15', Carlinhos ↓, Aponza W. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Vera D. ↓, Kauan Lindes ↑,
57', Alisson Safira ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
57', MP ↓, Fabio Lima ↑,
62', Max ↓, Bruninho ↑,
65', Aponza W. 🟨,
70', 0 - 1, Aponza W. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Luan Martins 🟨,
73', Mandaca ↓, Lucas Alves ↑,
73', Rai Silva ↓, Gabriel Pires ↑,
76', Fabio Lima 🟨,
81', Luan Martins ↓, Pablo Roberto ↑,
81', Aderlan ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
87', Felipe Negrucci ↓, Pool J. ↑,
89', Aponza W. ↓, Jota ↑,
90', Joao Miguel 🟨,
90+7', 0 - 2, Kauan Lindes ⚽, Bruninho (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 12).

Juventude is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Athletic is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Juventude may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Juventude is the team to beat.

There will not play in Juventude: Allanzinho (Knee Injury) Amarilla L. (Inactive) Messias (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Athletic: Sidimar (Injury) Tavares R. (Injury) Zeca (Injury)

We predict that Juventude will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Juventude won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	18	59
14	Athletic Club	32	10	12	10	38:37	1	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
08.09.26	Criciúma - Juventude	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Juventude - Atlético Goianiense	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Londrina - Juventude	0:0 ✺
25.08.26	Juventude - CRB Maceio	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Goiás - Juventude	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTTWW
- Athletic Club MG
Brazilian Serie B
08.09.26	Cuiabá - Athletic Club	3:0 ✺
04.09.26	Athletic Club - Vila Nova	5:0 ✺
28.08.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Athletic Club	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Athletic Club - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:4 ✺
20.08.26	Athletic Club - CRB Maceio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
17.05.26	Athletic Club - Juventude	1:1

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