Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 18

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Do Juventude Sport Clube (Evora) 🌤️ ...


	Juventude de Évora		Lagoa

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.92	3.3
	2.29	2.67	3.38
	2.29	2.77	3.38	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3.1
	2.28	2.71	3.41
	2.3	2.62	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.91)	2.73 ↓ (3.19)	3.33 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude de Évora
39.8%

Draw
33.1%

Lagoa
27.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

28.3%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

29.8%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude de Évora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventude de Évora's form might have worsened.

Lagoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude de Évora than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude de Évora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Juventude de Évora - Lagoa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 1 - 1, ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Juventude de Évora might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Juventude de Évora won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Juv. Evora	6	2	2	2	10:11	-1	8
10	Lagoa	6	1	3	2	5:6	-1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventude de Évora
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.02.26	Juventude de Évora - Louletano	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Sintrense - Juventude de Évora	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Juventude de Évora - Portimonense B	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Juventude de Évora - Atlético da Malveira	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Juventude de Évora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWTT
- Lagoa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.02.26	Lagoa - Comércio e Indústria	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Louletano - Lagoa	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Lagoa - Serpa	5:0 ✺
10.01.26	Sintrense - Lagoa	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Alcochetense - Lagoa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
28.09.25	Lagoa - Juventude de Évora	1:1

Juventude de Évora - Lagoa