Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Campo Polisportivo Alessandro La Marmora (Biella)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport 251


	Juventus U23		Potenza

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	2.7
	2.4	3.25	2.8
	2.38	3.35	2.9
	2.44	3.2	2.91	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.75
	2.3	3.26	2.8	Watch
	2.34	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.13)	3.26 ↓ (3.34)	2.8 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus U23
39.2%

Draw
28.1%

Potenza
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.9%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

26.9%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Juventus U23 - Potenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Daffara G. (G) 9. Afena-Gyan F. 5. Comenencia L. 8. Cudrig N. 6. Gil J. 4. Palumbo M. 10. Papadopoulos C. 7. Peeters D. 2. Perotti C. 3. Scaglia F. 11. Semedo L.	22. Alastra F. (G) 8. Castorani M. 9. Caturano S. 7. D'Auria G. 5. Felippe L. 77. Ghisolfi M. 14. Milesi L. 6. Riggio C. 23. Rillo F. 21. Schimmenti E. 26. Verrengia B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Palumbo M. ⚽,
12', Palumbo M. 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Schimmenti E. ⚽,
29', Rillo F. 🟨,
43', 1 - 2, D'Auria G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Semedo L. ↓, da Graca C. ↑,
49', 1 - 3, Castorani M. ⚽,
56', Palumbo M. ↓, Macca F. ↑,
56', Papadopoulos C. ↓, Anghele L. ↑,
57', Ghisolfi M. ↓, Erradi B. ↑,
62', D'Auria G. ↓, Vilardi M. ↑,
62', Felippe L. ↓, Ferro L. ↑,
62', 2 - 3, da Graca C. ⚽,
72', Rillo F. ↓, Burgio R. ↑,
72', Schimmenti E. ↓, Sciacca G. ↑,
74', Faticanti G. ↓, Owusu A. ↑,
81', Alastra F. 🟨,
83', Afena-Gyan F. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
90+4', Ferro L. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Juventus U23 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Potenza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group C
30.09.24	Benevento - Juventus U23	4:1 ✺
26.09.24	Juventus U23 - Picerno	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Trapani - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Monopoli - Juventus U23	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Juventus U23 - Catania	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTTL
- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
29.09.24	Potenza - Crotone	3:3 ✺
25.09.24	Potenza - Trapani	1:5 ✺
22.09.24	Audace Cerignola - Potenza	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	Potenza - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Benevento - Potenza	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWWL

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