Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 10

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Max
World	Onefootball


	Benevento		Potenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.41	4.45	6.5
	1.42	4.43	7.39
	1.14	7.27	16.20	Watch
	1.4	4.15	6.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)	5.08 ↑ (4.28)	9.26 ↑ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
70.9%

Draw
18.8%

Potenza
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

21.3%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

20.5%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benevento's performance.

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Benevento - Potenza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 77. Pierozzi E. 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Saio P. 19. Borghini D. 20. Ceresoli A. 11. Lamesta D. 8. Maita M. 4. Prisco A. 10. Manconi J. 9. Salvemini F.	22. Alastra F. (G) 98. Adjapong C. 14. Riggio C. 15. Camigliano A. 3. Rocchetti Y. 8. Castorani M. 5. Lucas Martello 31. Siatounis A. 30. Petrungaro L. 70. Selleri G. 10. D'Auria G.
Substitutes
29. Cantisani R. 7. Carfora L. 99. Della Morte M. 22. Esposito M. (G) 5. Mehic D. 32. Mignani G. 31. Ricci G. 2. Rillo F. 25. Romano R. 1. Russo D. (G) 3. Sena F. 38. Talia A. 37. Tsingaras A. 93. Tumminello M. 6. Viscardi A.	7. Anatriello G. 24. Bachini M. 19. Balzano M. 92. Bruschi N. 47. Bura R. 17. Cucchietti T. (G) 23. De Marco A. 77. Ghisolfi M. 96. Guiotto G. (G) 11. Mazzeo L. 35. Novella M. 21. Schimmenti E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Salvemini F. ⚽,
27', Vannucchi G. 🟨,
33', Adjapong C. ↓, Novella M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Selleri G. ↓, Anatriello G. ↑,
55', Manconi J. 🟨,
57', Lamesta D. ↓, Della Morte M. ↑,
70', Siatounis A. ↓, Ghisolfi M. ↑,
70', Petrungaro L. ↓, Schimmenti E. ↑,
71', Manconi J. ↓, Mehic D. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Pierozzi E. ⚽,
78', Riggio C. ↓, Bachini M. ↑,
88', Salvemini F. ↓, Mignani G. ↑,
88', Prisco A. ↓, Carfora L. ↑,
88', Ceresoli A. ↓, Nardi F. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Benevento is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Potenza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Benevento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Benevento is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benevento won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Benevento won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
12.10.25	Benevento - Altamura	4:0 ✺
03.10.25	Latina - Benevento	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Benevento - Trapani	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Picerno - Benevento	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Benevento - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWTW
- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
12.10.25	Potenza - Latina	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Altamura - Potenza	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Potenza - Atalanta U23	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Siracusa - Potenza	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Potenza - Picerno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
21.01.25	Potenza - Benevento	3:0
08.09.24	Benevento - Potenza	4:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.08.24	Benevento - Potenza	1:2
Italian Serie C Group C
07.03.24	Potenza - Benevento	0:2
30.10.23	Benevento - Potenza	1:0

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