Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 21

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Domenico Monterisi (Cerignola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Audace Cerignola		Potenza

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.25	3.4
	1.88	3.35	3.8
	1.9	3.41	3.76	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.5
	1.89	3.25	3.78	Watch
	1.77	3.5	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.02)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)	3.76 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
48.5%

Draw
27.3%

Potenza
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.4%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

26.2%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	33.3%	25%

Audace Cerignola - Potenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Audace Cerignola will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Potenza will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Audace Cerignola: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Potenza (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Iliev V. (G) 2. Todisco G. 5. Martinelli L. (C) 15. Ligi A. 3. Russo L. 10. Paolucci L. 24. Moreso O. 58. Cretella C. 99. Parlato C. 33. D'Orazio L. 9. Gambale D.	17. Cucchietti T. (G) 3. Rocchetti Y. 14. Riggio C. 24. Bachini M. 47. Bura R. 98. Adjapong C. 5. Lucas Martello 31. Siatounis A. 77. Ghisolfi M. 10. D'Auria G. 30. Petrungaro L.
Substitutes
17. Ballabile E. 45. Cocorocchio M. 29. Cuppone L. 7. Dabizas A. 21. Di Tommaso L. 22. Fares G. (G) 1. Greco S. (G) 71. Ianzano D. 86. Labranca R. 83. Ruggiero Z. 25. Spaltro R.	19. Balzano M. 23. De Marco A. 83. Gabriele G. 96. Guiotto G. (G) 28. Maisto F. 11. Mazzeo L. 20. Ragone G. 21. Schimmenti E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Gambale D. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Parlato C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 3 - 0, D'Orazio L. ⚽,
58', Bachini M. ↓, Schimmenti E. ↑,
62', 4 - 0, Ligi A. ⚽,
65', Paolucci L. 🟨,
72', Petrungaro L. ↓, Mazzeo L. ↑,
72', D'Auria G. ↓, Balzano M. ↑,
72', Siatounis A. ↓, De Marco A. ↑,
74', Parlato C. ↓, Spaltro R. ↑,
74', Paolucci L. ↓, Ruggiero Z. ↑,
82', Russo L. ↓, Ballabile E. ↑,
82', D'Orazio L. ↓, Ianzano D. ↑,
82', Rocchetti Y. ↓, Ragone G. ↑,
85', Gambale D. ↓, Dabizas A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Audace Cerignola will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Audace Cerignola won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Potenza	8	6	1	1	21:11	10	19
5	Audace Cerignola	9	4	2	3	14:9	5	14

Last Results with these Odds

Audace Cerignola - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.55%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
03.01.26	Picerno - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	Audace Cerignola - Benevento	0:4 ✺
14.12.25	Altamura - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Latina - Audace Cerignola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLTTW
- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
04.01.26	Potenza - Giugliano	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Monopoli - Potenza	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Potenza - Catania	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.12.25	Potenza - Crotone	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
06.12.25	Sorrento - Potenza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Potenza - Audace Cerignola	4:2
Italian Serie C Group C
30.08.25	Potenza - Audace Cerignola	0:0
25.01.25	Potenza - Audace Cerignola	1:2
22.09.24	Audace Cerignola - Potenza	0:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.08.24	Potenza - Audace Cerignola	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
24.03.24	Audace Cerignola - Potenza	2:1
19.11.23	Potenza - Audace Cerignola	2:2

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