Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 31

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Novara		Juventus U23

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3
	2	3.15	3.4
	2.13	2.95	3.15
	2.16	2.98	3.41
	2.15	2.9	3.3
	2.16	3.05	3.38	Watch
	2.16	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.2)	3.02 ↑ (2.88)	3.26 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
42.4%

Draw
29.9%

Juventus U23
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

31.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.4%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

The chances for Juventus U23 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Novara - Juventus U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Novara won 1.

Novara is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Juventus U23 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Juventus U23 have a series of home games.

Novara will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Novara won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
05.03.23	Sangiuliano City Nova - Novara	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Novara - Padova	1:3 ✺
18.02.23	Novara - Pro Sesto	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Lecco - Novara	3:1 ✺
05.02.23	Novara - AlbinoLeffe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL
- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group A
06.03.23	Juventus U23 - AlbinoLeffe	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.03.23	Juventus U23 - Vicenza Virtus	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
25.02.23	Triestina - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Juventus U23 - Lecco	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
15.02.23	Juventus U23 - Foggia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
06.11.22	Juventus U23 - Novara	2:1
03.03.21	Juventus U23 - Novara	2:1
08.11.20	Novara - Juventus U23	1:1
22.01.20	Juventus U23 - Novara	2:2
26.08.19	Novara - Juventus U23	2:0
27.01.19	Juventus U23 - Novara	1:1
30.09.18	Novara - Juventus U23	1:1

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