The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Júbilo Iwata 38.1%
Draw 29.3%
Albirex Niigata 32.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.3%
26.5%
46.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
26.3%
46.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Júbilo Iwata's performance.
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Albirex Niigata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Júbilo Iwata that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+14%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Albirex Niigata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.7%
26.7%
46.7%
Júbilo Iwata - Albirex Niigata Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Albirex Niigata: 21.5% – 71.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kawashima E. (G) 50. Uemura H. 15. Suzuki K. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 14. Matsumoto M. 77. Fujiwara K. 7. Uehara R. 37. Hirakawa R. 13. Fujikawa K. 11. Germain R.
1. Kojima R. (G) 32. Hasegawa T. 26. Endo R. 3. Deng T. 18. Hayakawa F. 8. Miyamoto E. 19. Hoshi Y. 17. Danilo Gomes 14. Hasegawa M. 16. Komi Y. 27. Nagakura M.
Substitutes
19. Bruno Jose 31. Furukawa Y. 16. Leo Gomes 99. Matheus Peixoto 21. Miura R. (G) 3. Morioka R. 26. Nishikubo S.
21. Abe K. (G) 6. Akiyama H. 5. Fitzgerald M. 24. Mori R. 30. Okumura J. 11. Ota S. 7. Taniguchi K.
Coaches
Yokouchi A.
Matsuhashi R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Komi Y. 🟨,
44', Hoshi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fujikawa K. ↓, Matheus Peixoto ↑,
66', Fujiwara K. ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
66', Hirakawa R. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
67', Germain R. 🟨,
76', 1 - 0, Germain R. (Pen),
76', Hasegawa M. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
76', Danilo Gomes ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
77', Nagakura M. ↓, Ota S. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Germain R. ⚽, Matheus Peixoto (A),
82', Hoshi Y. ↓, Akiyama H. ↑,
90+6', Matsumoto M. ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Iwata won 3.
Iwata is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Niigata is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Iwata won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Iwata won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-8.
Watch
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Kawashima E. (G) 
Ricardo Graca 
Deng T. 
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