The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tokyo Verdy 41.6%
Draw 31.9%
Albirex Niigata 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
30.3%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
30.8%
26.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.9%
9.1%
0%
Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Tokyo Verdy (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Tokyo Verdy (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Tokyo Verdy will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tokyo Verdy will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Vidotto (G) 6. Miyahara K. 4. Hayashi N. 3. Taniguchi H. 26. Uchida Y. 8. Saito K. 7. Morita K. 2. Fukazawa D. 14. Fukuda Y. 40. Arai Y. 9. Someno I.
21. Tashiro R. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 5. Fitzgerald M. 15. Hayakawa F. 42. Hashimoto K. 28. Shimamura T. 8. Shirai E. 50. Uemura H. 30. Okumura J. 65. Boudah A. 7. Taniguchi K.
Substitutes
16. Hirakawa R. 25. Kumatoriya I. 19. Matsuhashi Y. 21. Nagasawa Y. (G) 27. Shirai R. 15. Suzuki K. 45. Teranuma S. 38. Toyama S. 55. Yoshida T.
1. Fujita K. (G) 2. Geria J. 41. Hasegawa M. 31. Horigome Y. 46. Kasai K. 20. Miguel 55. Moraes 99. Ono Y. 18. Wakatsuki Y.
Coaches
Hiroshi J.
Irie T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Taniguchi H. ⚽, Someno I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fitzgerald M. ↓, Geria J. ↑,
46', Taniguchi K. ↓, Moraes ↑,
54', Fukuda Y. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
72', Someno I. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
73', Arai Y. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
73', Boudah A. ↓, Wakatsuki Y. ↑,
74', Uemura H. ↓, Hasegawa M. ↑,
82', Morita K. ↓, Hirakawa R. ↑,
82', Okumura J. ↓, Miguel ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 3.
Tokyo Verdy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Niigata has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Tokyo Verdy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tokyo Verdy could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
Yamami H.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Hoshi Y.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
China
Japan
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Matheus Vidotto (G) 
Miyahara K. 
Boudah A. 
Geria J. 
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