The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albirex Niigata 34.6%
Draw 29.3%
Nagoya Grampus 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.2%
28.3%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
28.2%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
7.1%
78.6%
Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Nagoya will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 57.1% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nagoya Grampus will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Tashiro R. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. (C) 15. Hayakawa F. 5. Fitzgerald M. 42. Hashimoto K. 28. Shimamura T. 22. Arai T. 8. Shirai E. 7. Taniguchi K. 33. Takagi Y. 41. Hasegawa M.
16. Takeda Y. (G) 17. Uchida T. 13. Fujii H. 3. Sato Y. 2. Nogami Y. 15. Inagaki S. 26. Kato G. 55. Tokumoto S. (C) 9. Asano Y. 14. Morishima T. 22. Kimura Y.
Substitutes
65. Boudah A. 1. Fujita K. (G) 31. Horigome Y. 55. Moraes 14. Ohara M. 4. Okamoto S. 30. Okumura J. 50. Uemura H. 18. Wakatsuki Y.
70. Hara T. 77. Junker K. 10. Mateus 20. Mikuni K. 18. Nagai K. 27. Nakayama K. 8. Shiihashi K. 21. Sugimoto D. (G) 32. Suzuki H.
Coaches
Irie T.
Hasegawa K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Takagi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Tokumoto S. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
57', Asano Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
61', Takagi Y. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
61', Shimamura T. ↓, Moraes ↑,
72', Nogami Y. 🟨,
73', Nogami Y. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
73', Kimura Y. ↓, Hara T. ↑,
73', Arai T. ↓, Uemura H. ↑,
73', Taniguchi K. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
90+1', Hasegawa M. ↓, Wakatsuki Y. ↑,
90+1', Uchida T. ↓, Mikuni K. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1.
Niigata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Nagoya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, Nagoya has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Hoshi Y.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Nagoya: Kawazura A.
(Ankle Injury)
Kikuchi T.
(Knee Injury)
Mateus
(Ankle Injury)
Schmidt D.
(Muscle Injury)
Yamagishi Y.
(Red Card)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Nagoya Grampus - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 40.49%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Australia
China
Hong-kong
India
Japan
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Tashiro R. (G) 
Boudah A. 
Moraes 
Junker K. 
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