Match Info

J1 League - Round 37

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Albirex Niigata		Kashiwa Reysol

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.75	1.45	Watch
	5.9	4.25	1.48	Watch
	6.4	4.93	1.5
	5.20	4.29	1.58	Watch
	6.09	4.3	1.54	Watch
	6	4.33	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.85 ↑ (5.15)	4.48 ↑ (4.27)	1.51 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albirex Niigata
16.2%

Draw
21.1%

Kashiwa Reysol
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

21.9%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Kashiwa (1.78) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Kashiwa (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kashiwa Reysol will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Tashiro R. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 5. Fitzgerald M. 15. Hayakawa F. 42. Hashimoto K. 14. Ohara M. 22. Arai T. 8. Shirai E. 30. Okumura J. 7. Taniguchi K. 41. Hasegawa M.	25. Kojima R. (G) 42. Harada W. 4. Koga T. 2. Mitsumaru H. 32. Yamanouchi Y. 21. Konishi Y. 39. Nakagawa N. 3. Diego 8. Koizumi Y. 20. Segawa Y. 9. Hosoya M.
Substitutes
65. Boudah A. 35. Chiba K. 1. Fujita K. (G) 77. Funaki K. 31. Horigome Y. 46. Kasai K. 55. Moraes 48. Otake Y. 33. Takagi Y.	88. Baba S. 18. Kakita Y. 14. Koyamatsu T. 24. Kubo T. 29. Nagai K. (G) 19. Nakama H. 22. Noda H. 26. Sugioka D. 28. Toshima S.
Coaches
Irie T.	Rodriguez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Hosoya M. ⚽,
28', Shirai E. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Hosoya M. ⚽, Koizumi Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Taniguchi K. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
46', Arai T. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
55', 0 - 3, Hosoya M. ⚽, Nakagawa N. (A),
61', Nakagawa N. ↓, Toshima S. ↑,
61', Diego ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
62', Segawa Y. ↓, Koyamatsu T. ↑,
64', Okumura J. ↓, Moraes ↑,
64', Hashimoto K. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Kasai K. ⚽, Boudah A. (A),
76', Yamanouchi Y. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
81', Hosoya M. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
83', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
87', Ohara M. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

Niigata is Relegated to J2 League

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.

Kashiwa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Kashiwa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kashiwa is the team to beat.

There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury) Hoshi Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K. (Knee Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury) Watai M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Niigata: Geria J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kashiwa: Yamada Y. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League
08.11.25	Shonan Bellmare - Albirex Niigata	5:2 ✺
26.10.25	Albirex Niigata - Vissel Kobe	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLTL
- Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League
08.11.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Nagoya Grampus	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
01.11.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:3 ✺
Japan J1 League
25.10.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama FC	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Gamba Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol	0:5 ✺
Japan J League Cup
12.10.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Kawasaki Frontale	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
26.04.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata	1:1
09.11.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata	1:1
30.03.24	Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1
24.06.23	Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata	0:0
07.05.23	Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol	0:0
Japan J League Cup
19.04.23	Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata	3:2
05.04.23	Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol	2:0

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