Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 12

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Júbilo Iwata		Gifu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.7
	2.3	3.25	2.72
	2.34	3.4	2.89
	2.33	3.33	2.87	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.75
	2.32	3.13	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.15)	3.25 ↓ (3.42)	2.8 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
39.5%

Draw
28%

Gifu
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.1%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.6%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Gifu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Júbilo Iwata - Gifu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Gifu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gifu (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawashima E. (G) 50. Uemura H. 30. Yamazaki K. 52. Van den Bergh J. 4. Matsubara K. 2. Kawasaki I. 18. Inoue S. 7. Uehara R. 16. Gustavo Silva 9. Watanabe R. 11. Matheus Peixoto	31. Serantes J. (G) 3. Hagino K. 27. Haneda K. 5. Kato S. 7. Mun In-Ju 6. Fukuta A. 85. Hakozaki T. 21. Yokoyama T. 10. Kita R. 8. Araki D. 17. Kawamoto R.
Substitutes
48. Aida Y. 77. Fujiwara K. 33. Kawai T. 21. Miura R. (G) 3. Morioka R. 27. Sato R. 39. Sumi K. 8. Tameda H. 36. Yoshimura R.	40. Hirase D. 39. Izumisawa J. 4. Kai K. 19. Matsumoto A. 14. Oiji Y. 51. Suganuma K. (G) 18. Wade M. 77. Yamaya Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Yokoyama T. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Gustavo Silva ⚽, Uemura H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yokoyama T. ↓, Izumisawa J. ↑,
52', Hagino K. 🟨,
56', Hagino K. ↓, Matsumoto A. ↑,
62', Gustavo Silva ↓, Sato R. ↑,
66', Araki D. 🟨,
75', Kawasaki I. ↓, Tameda H. ↑,
75', Uehara R. ↓, Fujiwara K. ↑,
76', Watanabe R. ↓, Sumi K. ↑,
83', Araki D. ↓, Yamaya Y. ↑,
86', Fujiwara K. 🟨,
90+4', Kawamoto R. ↓, Wade M. ↑,
90+4', Hakozaki T. ↓, Hirase D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Iwata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 J3 League
18.04.26	Omiya Ardija - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Nagano Parceiro - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 penalties ✺
04.04.26	Júbilo Iwata - Ventforet Kofu	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Iwaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWLL
- FC Gifu
Japan J2 J3 League
19.04.26	Fukushima United - Gifu	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Gifu - Fujieda MYFC	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Omiya Ardija - Gifu	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Gifu - Nagano Parceiro	5:1 ✺
21.03.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Gifu	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
15.02.26	Gifu - Júbilo Iwata	2:1
Japan J2 League
22.07.15	Gifu - Júbilo Iwata	2:0
21.06.15	Júbilo Iwata - Gifu	2:3
11.10.14	Júbilo Iwata - Gifu	3:1
14.06.14	Gifu - Júbilo Iwata	0:4

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