Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 29 March 2023, Wednesday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)


	Júbilo Iwata		Tochigi

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.93	2.9	3.9
	1.85	3.25	4.25
	2.15	2.9	3.3
	2.05	3.17	4.34
	1.95	2.9	3.9
	2	3.24	4.05	Watch
	1.96	3.1	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.19)	3.07 ↑ (3.02)	4.01 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
46.7%

Draw
30.1%

Tochigi
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.5%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

29.1%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	36.4%	18.2%

Júbilo Iwata - Tochigi Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tochigi will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Iwata: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iwata won 3.

Iwata is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tochigi is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Iwata could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Iwata is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Iwata won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Iwata won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J League Cup
25.03.23	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	2:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
18.03.23	Júbilo Iwata - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:2 ✺
11.03.23	Omiya Ardija - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
08.03.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
04.03.23	Júbilo Iwata - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLW
- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
19.03.23	Tochigi - Omiya Ardija	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Tochigi - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Oita Trinita - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	Vegalta Sendai - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	Tochigi - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
17.10.21	Tochigi - Júbilo Iwata	1:1
01.05.21	Júbilo Iwata - Tochigi	3:2
20.12.20	Tochigi - Júbilo Iwata	1:2
19.09.20	Júbilo Iwata - Tochigi	2:3
12.07.15	Tochigi - Júbilo Iwata	0:2
01.04.15	Júbilo Iwata - Tochigi	3:0
31.08.14	Júbilo Iwata - Tochigi	2:3

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