Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 18

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Kanseki Stadium Tochigi (Utsunomiya)

Referee: Tawara G. (Jpn)


	Tochigi		Roasso Kumamoto

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.15
	3.25	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.42	3.25	2.29
	3.42	3.23	2.29
	3.1	3.1	2.15
	3.26	3.18	2.19	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	2.21 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tochigi
28.4%

Draw
29.7%

Roasso Kumamoto
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

29.2%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

29.3%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Tochigi - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tochigi will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Kumamoto will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Tanno K. (G) 23. Fukushima H. 2. Hiramatsu W. 33. Rafael Costa 10. Mori T. 24. Kanbe K. 15. Okuda K. 6. Omori S. 19. Oshima K. 42. Minamino H. 32. Miyazaki K.	23. Sato Y. (G) 2. Kuroki K. 24. Ezaki T. 3. Onishi R. 9. Omoto Y. 15. Mishima S. 21. Toyoda A. 13. Iwashita W. 18. Ishikawa D. 17. Fujii K. 20. Osaki S.
Substitutes
44. Ageishi R. 7. Ishida R. 9. Ismaila O. 1. Kawata S. (G) 38. Kobori S. 3. Kurosaki H. 40. Takashima S.	5. Abe K. 11. Bae Jeong-Min 30. Higashiyama T. 10. Ito S. 28. Kumashiro K. 31. Sato S. (G) 7. Takemoto Y.
Coaches
Kobayashi S.	Oki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Toyoda A. 🟨,
19', Hiramatsu W. ↓, Takashima S. ↑,
36', 1 - 0, Miyazaki K. ⚽, Mori T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', 1 - 1, Mishima S. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Omoto Y. ⚽, Toyoda A. (A),
59', Omori S. ↓, Ishida R. ↑,
59', Ishikawa D. 🟨,
59', Mori T. ↓, Kurosaki H. ↑,
68', Oshima K. ↓, Kobori S. ↑,
70', Omoto Y. ↓, Abe K. ↑,
70', Ishikawa D. ↓, Bae Jeong-Min ↑,
75', Miyazaki K. ↓, Ismaila O. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Abe K. ⚽, Fujii K. (A),
84', Osaki S. ↓, Kumashiro K. ↑,
89', Mishima S. ↓, Takemoto Y. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 1.

Tochigi has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kumamoto is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kumamoto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kumamoto will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Tochigi won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Tochigi won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
25.05.24	Ehime - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
19.05.24	Tochigi - Vegalta Sendai	1:2 ✺
12.05.24	Tokushima Vortis - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
06.05.24	Tochigi - Fujieda MYFC	0:1 ✺
03.05.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tochigi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLL
- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
26.05.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Montedio Yamagata	0:1 ✺
18.05.24	Tokushima Vortis - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2 ✺
12.05.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Yokohama FC	0:0 ✺
06.05.24	Mito HollyHock - Roasso Kumamoto	2:0 ✺
03.05.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Kagoshima United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
24.09.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Tochigi	3:0
19.02.23	Tochigi - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1
07.08.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Tochigi	2:0
17.04.22	Tochigi - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1
26.08.18	Roasso Kumamoto - Tochigi	0:1
25.03.18	Tochigi - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0
01.08.15	Roasso Kumamoto - Tochigi	2:0

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