Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 20

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Resonac Dome Oita (Oita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Oita Trinita		Tochigi

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	4	Watch
	1.9	3.1	3.7
	2	3.25	3.75	Watch
	2	3.39	4.13
	1.99	3.39	4.14
	1.85	3.2	3.9
	1.96	3.3	3.77	Watch
	1.95	3.25	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.86)	3.27 ↓ (3.42)	3.91 ↓ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Oita Trinita
47.7%

Draw
28.4%

Tochigi
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.3%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

26.9%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Oita Trinita - Tochigi Predictions

Users Predictions: Oita Trinita will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Hamada T. (G) 39. Udo S. 31. Sousa Pereira M. 25. Ando T. 2. Kagawa Y. 10. Nomura N. 19. Kozakai A. 26. Yasuda K. 29. Utsumoto S. 13. Isa K. 11. Watanabe A.	27. Tanno K. (G) 23. Fukushima H. 2. Hiramatsu W. 33. Rafael Costa 10. Mori T. 24. Kanbe K. 15. Okuda K. 18. Kawana R. 42. Minamino H. 19. Oshima K. 32. Miyazaki K.
Substitutes
3. Derlan 41. Kim H. 20. Kimoto T. 22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 93. Nagasawa S. 5. Nakagawa H. 35. Sato J.	44. Ageishi R. 17. Fujitani T. 9. Ismaila O. 1. Kawata S. (G) 38. Kobori S. 3. Kurosaki H. 29. Yano K.
Coaches
Katanosaka T.	Kobayashi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Utsumoto S. 🟨,
45+1', Rafael Costa 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Kawana R. ⚽, Miyazaki K. (A),
64', Yasuda K. ↓, Nakagawa H. ↑,
75', Watanabe A. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
77', Rafael Costa ↓, Fujitani T. ↑,
77', Minamino H. ↓, Kobori S. ↑,
79', Kagawa Y. ↓, Sato J. ↑,
79', Utsumoto S. ↓, Kimoto T. ↑,
79', Isa K. ↓, Kim H. ↑,
85', Miyazaki K. ↓, Ismaila O. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 2, Kobori S. ⚽, Okuda K. (A),
90+2', Mori T. ↓, Kurosaki H. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oita Trinita won 1.

Recent matches Oita Trinita is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tochigi is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oita Trinita could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Oita Trinita will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Oita Trinita won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Oita Trinita won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oita Trinita
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Oita Trinita - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
09.06.24	Montedio Yamagata - Oita Trinita	0:0 ✺
01.06.24	Oita Trinita - Tokushima Vortis	1:2 ✺
26.05.24	Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Mito HollyHock - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLTT
- Tochigi SC
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Fujieda MYFC - Tochigi	2:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
08.06.24	Tochigi - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
02.06.24	Tochigi - Roasso Kumamoto	1:3 ✺
25.05.24	Ehime - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
19.05.24	Tochigi - Vegalta Sendai	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
24.03.24	Tochigi - Oita Trinita	2:1
22.10.23	Tochigi - Oita Trinita	1:1
05.03.23	Oita Trinita - Tochigi	1:0
18.06.22	Tochigi - Oita Trinita	1:1
27.04.22	Oita Trinita - Tochigi	0:0
21.07.18	Oita Trinita - Tochigi	0:0
25.02.18	Tochigi - Oita Trinita	2:4

Upcoming Matches