Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)


	Polonia Warsaw		Polkowice

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4
	1.7	3.4	4.1
	1.74	3.4	4.1
	1.82	3.34	4.35
	1.7	3.2	4.33
	1.72	3.5	4.3	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.85)	3.41 ↓ (3.6)	4.21 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
52%

Draw
26.5%

Polkowice
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

25.1%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Polkowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polkowice than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Polonia Warsaw - Polkowice Predictions

Users Predictions: Polonia Warsaw will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 10).

Polonia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Polkowice is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Polonia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Polonia to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 2
15.10.22	Olimpia Elbląg - Polonia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
07.10.22	Polonia Warsaw - Garbarnia Kraków	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1 ✺
28.09.22	Polonia Warsaw - KKS Kalisz	3:2 ✺
24.09.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTTWW
- KS Polkowice
Polish Division 2
15.10.22	Polkowice - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:0 ✺
08.10.22	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polkowice	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Polkowice - Radunia Stężyca	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Polkowice	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	Polkowice - Hutnik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW

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