Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 23

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Arena Lublin (Lublin)

Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)


	Motor Lublin		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4.75
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.72	3.6	4.75
	1.8	3.76	4.84
	1.74	3.76	4.84
	1.7	3.4	4.33
	1.77	3.54	4.34
	1.73	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.87)	3.57 ↑ (3.45)	4.57 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
53.5%

Draw
26.1%

Polonia Warsaw
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

26.4%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

25.6%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Motor Lublin - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Polonia will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rosa K. (G) 77. Ceglarz P. (C) 26. Krol M. 74. Kruk K. 24. Luberecki F. 90. Mraz S. 18. Najemski A. 30. Ndiaye M. J. 37. Scalet M. 28. Stolarski P. 68. Wolski B.	57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 22. Biedrzycki B. 2. Grudniewski M. 7. Kluska M. 11. Kobusinski S. 16. Koton K. 26. Majsterek J. 77. Michalski M. 14. Okhronchuk V. 34. Plesnierowicz W. 37. Zawistowski N.
Substitutes
53. Budzilek L. (G) 55. Gasior M. 11. Kaminski D. 73. Lis J. 5. Magnuszewski K. 21. Rudol S. 7. Rybicki M. 19. Welniak K. 17. Wojcik F.	10. Bajdur M. 29. Fadecki W. 66. Kowalski-Haberek M. 20. Marciniec P. 18. Pawlowski D. 6. Piatek J. 1. Sandach A. (G) 8. Wojciechowski O. 23. Xabi Auzmendi
Coaches
Feio G.	Smalec R.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Motor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Motor have a series of guest games.

Recently Polonia have a series of home games.

In this match Motor is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Motor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Motor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Polish Division 1
03.03.24	Górnik Łęczna - Motor Lublin	1:1 ✺
28.02.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Motor Lublin	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Motor Lublin - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0 ✺
19.02.24	GKS Katowice - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.02.24	Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWLL
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
03.03.24	Polonia Warsaw - Chrobry Głogów	1:1 ✺
23.02.24	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Polonia Warsaw - Arka Gdynia	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.24	Polonia Warsaw - Kolding IF	1:0 penalties ✺
03.02.24	Polonia Warsaw - Gloria Buzău	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
26.08.23	Polonia Warsaw - Motor Lublin	0:1
Polish Division 2
04.06.23	Polonia Warsaw - Motor Lublin	1:1
29.10.22	Motor Lublin - Polonia Warsaw	0:1

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