Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 22

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen)

Referee: Staessens B. (Bel)


	KV Mechelen		RWDM Brussels

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.8
	1.78	3.6	4.5
	1.78	3.55	4.8
	1.77	3.62	5.11
	1.65	3.7	4.5
	1.73	3.77	4.89
	1.78	3.6	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.69)	3.63 ↓ (3.9)	4.76 ↑ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
54.1%

Draw
26%

RWDM Brussels
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

24.1%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

23.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

RWDM Brussels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RWDM Brussels than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	5%	15%

KV Mechelen - RWDM Brussels Predictions

Users Predictions: KV Mechelen will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Coucke G. (G) 6. Van Hecke J. 27. Bates D. 22. Cobbaut E. 23. Foulon D. 7. Hairemans G. 34. Mukau N. 16. Schoofs R. 19. Mrabti K. 77. Pflucke P. 20. Lauberbach L.	33. Defourny T. (G) 29. Sarr M. 94. Philipe Sampaio 3. Le Joncour F. 21. Sambu M. 77. Reine-Adelaide J. 6. Dwomoh P. 11. Adaramola T. 7. Biron M. 89. Carlos Alberto 9. Gueye M.
Substitutes
38. Antonio B. 39. Asante I. 36. Asare D. 35. Bafdili B. 37. Loeman T. 10. Malede Y. 12. Rottiers N. 28. Soelle F. 15. Thoelen Y. (G)	8. Abe S. 26. Abner 17. Camara I. 15. Diallo S. 32. Doudaev D. R. 28. Hubert G. (G) 47. Mboup P. 30. Mercier X. 43. Sousa
Coaches
Hasi B.	Cacapa C.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

Recent matches Mechelen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

RWDM47 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

RWDM47 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mechelen is a favorite.

There will not play in Mechelen: Belghali R. (Injury) Bolingoli B. (Injury) Falchou R. (Surgery) Konate M. (National selection)

There will not play in RWDM47: Hazard K. (Knee Injury) Klaus (Injury) Segovia L. (Knock)

There are questionable in Mechelen: Raemaekers T. (Injury) Storm N. (Injury)

There are questionable in RWDM47: De Sart A. (Muscle Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mechelen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Mechelen won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.01.24	Gent - KV Mechelen	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.24	KV Mechelen - Hertha Berlin	3:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.23	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	3:1 ✺
20.12.23	KV Mechelen - Standard Liège	3:0 ✺
17.12.23	Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWLWL
- RWDM Brussels
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.01.24	RWDM Brussels - Eupen	0:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
17.01.24	Oostende - RWDM Brussels	2:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.12.23	Westerlo - RWDM Brussels	3:0 ✺
22.12.23	RWDM Brussels - Club Brugge	1:6 ✺
16.12.23	RWDM Brussels - Sint-Truidense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.08.23	RWDM Brussels - KV Mechelen	1:0
Club Friendly
13.07.22	KV Mechelen - RWDM Brussels	0:0
Belgian Cup
03.02.21	KV Mechelen - RWDM Brussels	2:0
Club Friendly
08.07.20	KV Mechelen - RWDM Brussels	1:1

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