Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Charleroi)

Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN
Austria	Laola1
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1
Bolivia	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN
Finland	DAZN
Germany	Laola1
Mexico	DAZN App
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN
Peru	DAZN App
Sweden	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN


	Charleroi		KV Mechelen

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.68	3.90	4.80
	1.78	3.6	4.4	Watch
	1.69	4.01	5.2
	1.66	3.98	4.99	Watch
	1.68	3.95	5
	1.74	3.92	5.02	Watch
	1.66	3.85	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.78)	3.86 ↑ (3.72)	4.84 ↑ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charleroi
55.9%

Draw
24.5%

KV Mechelen
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

25.4%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Charleroi - KV Mechelen Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kone M. (G) 3. Van Den Kerkhof K. 4. Ousou A. (C) 95. Keita C. 24. Nzita M. 6. Boukamir A. 18. Khalifi Y. 14. Pflucke P. 8. Romsaas J. 17. Bernier A. 21. Scheidler A.	13. Miras N. (G) 17. Van Meirvenne C. 39. Decoene M. 2. Marijnissen L. 3. Marsa J. 7. Koudou T. 26. Praet D. 14. Raman B. 6. Hammar F. 9. van Brederode M. 19. Lohunanu-Mbasi M.
Substitutes
9. Bojang A. 19. Cisse I. 25. Colassin A. 1. Delavallee M. (G) 51. Kera M. 20. Mbemba F. 33. Solheid N. 44. Sow M. 65. Teugels R.	16. Ayodele S. 11. Bafdili B. 20. Corbanie K. 1. De Wolf O. (G) 22. Golic L. 10. Kireev M. 40. Ouahabi A. 49. Van Helden M. 27. Vanrafelghem K.
Coaches
Kohnen M.	Vanderbiest F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Ousou A. ⚽, Pflucke P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Pflucke P. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
65', Lohunanu-Mbasi M. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,
66', Raman B. ↓, Ayodele S. ↑,
74', Boukamir A. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
74', Scheidler A. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
76', Van Meirvenne C. ↓, Vanrafelghem K. ↑,
76', Praet D. ↓, Kireev M. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Van Den Kerkhof K. ⚽, Colassin A. (A),
88', Bernier A. ↓, Sow M. ↑,
88', Nzita M. ↓, Bojang A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Charleroi is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Charleroi: Guiagon P. (Inactive)

There will not play in Mechelen: Antonio B. (Ankle Injury) Boersma B. (Back Injury) Diouf G. (Injury) St. Jago T. (Injury) Van Ingelgom T. (Forearm injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15:7	8	18
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5:14	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.08.26	Lommel - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Charleroi - Rayo Vallecano	2:3 ✺
25.07.26	Lens - Charleroi	2:2 ✺
17.07.26	Feyenoord - Charleroi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLTL
- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.08.26	KV Mechelen - Standard Liège	3:3 ✺
09.08.26	Gent - KV Mechelen	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	KV Mechelen - Dunkerque	Canceled ✺
01.08.26	KV Mechelen - Dunkerque	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Willem II - KV Mechelen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TL?TL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.12.25	KV Mechelen - Charleroi	1:0
Belgian Cup
04.12.25	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	2:0
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.09.25	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	0:2
18.05.25	KV Mechelen - Charleroi	1:1
19.04.25	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	3:0
08.03.25	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	0:1
31.08.24	KV Mechelen - Charleroi	5:2

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