Match Info

Super League - Round 19

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Kabati		Mombasa United

	1	X	2
	2.41	2.87	2.94
	1.00	1.00	1.17	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.47	3.09	2.83
	2.25	3	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.4)	2.55 ↓ (2.99)	2.51 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kabati
37.6%

Draw
31%

Mombasa United
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.4%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

30.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kabati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Mombasa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Kabati aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mombasa United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Kabati - Mombasa United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Mombasa United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mombasa United	36	23	3	10	49:31	18	72
16	Kabati	36	9	8	19	29:50	-21	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kabati FC
Kenyan Super League
18.01.26	Kabati - Darajani Gogo	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Migori Youth - Kabati	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Kabati - 3K	0:2 ✺
18.12.25	Kabati - Soy United	2:1 ✺
12.12.25	Nzoia United - Kabati	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTLWT
- Mombasa United
Kenyan Super League
24.01.26	Vihiga United - Mombasa United	1:3 ✺
18.01.26	Mombasa United - Kibera Black Stars	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Soy United - Mombasa United	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Mombasa United - Mwatate United	3:0 ✺
12.12.25	Migori Youth - Mombasa United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWL

Kabati - Mombasa United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide