Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 24

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Kaitaba Stadium (Bukoba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Kagera Sugar		Coastal Union

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.7	2.8
	2.55	2.75	2.9
	2.59	2.83	2.87	Watch
	2.54	2.79	2.8
	2.55	2.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.5)	2.76 ↓ (2.8)	2.85 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagera Sugar
35.5%

Draw
32.7%

Coastal Union
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagera Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Coastal Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagera Sugar than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Coastal Union aligns with the current prediction.

Kagera Sugar - Coastal Union Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, Kikoti L. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Salum M. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kagera Sugar won 1.

Recent matches Kagera Sugar is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Coastal Union is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Kagera Sugar won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.6:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Kagera Sugar won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagera Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
07.03.25	Kagera Sugar - Pamba	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Kagera Sugar - Kinondoni MC	0:0 ✺
21.02.25	JKT Tanzania - Kagera Sugar	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	KenGold - Kagera Sugar	1:0 ✺
14.02.25	Kagera Sugar - Singida Fountain Gate	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLLW
- Coastal Union
Tanzanian Premier League
07.03.25	Dodoma Jiji - Coastal Union	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Coastal Union - Simba	0:3 ✺
23.02.25	Namungo - Coastal Union	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	Coastal Union - Azam	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Pamba - Coastal Union	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
29.10.24	Coastal Union - Kagera Sugar	1:0
09.12.23	Coastal Union - Kagera Sugar	1:0
21.01.23	Kagera Sugar - Coastal Union	0:0
03.10.22	Coastal Union - Kagera Sugar	2:0
25.06.22	Coastal Union - Kagera Sugar	0:1
05.02.22	Kagera Sugar - Coastal Union	2:1
18.07.21	Coastal Union - Kagera Sugar	3:1

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