Match Info

Date: 11 February 2021, Thursday


	Kagera Sugar		Gwambina

	1	X	2
	1.91	2.8	4.4
	1.9	2.8	4.35
	1.86	2.75	4.3
	1.86	2.8	4.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.02)	2.79 ↓ (3.15)	4.41 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagera Sugar
47.6%

Draw
32.1%

Gwambina
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

29.4%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

22.4%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagera Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Gwambina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagera Sugar than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kagera Sugar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwambina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Kagera Sugar - Gwambina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 14).

Recent matches Kagera Sugar is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gwambina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Kagera Sugar have a series of guest games.

Recently Gwambina have a series of home games.

Kagera Sugar will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kagera Sugar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagera Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
01.01.21	JKT Tanzania - Kagera Sugar	1:0 ✺
14.12.20	Singida Black Stars - Kagera Sugar	2:1 ✺
05.12.20	Prisons - Kagera Sugar	0:1 ✺
29.11.20	Ruvu Shooting - Kagera Sugar	0:0 ✺
25.11.20	Kagera Sugar - Biashara Mara United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LLWTW
- Gwambina FC
Tanzanian Premier League
03.01.21	Gwambina - Biashara Mara United	0:1 ✺
22.12.20	Gwambina - Mbeya City	1:1 ✺
19.12.20	Gwambina - Prisons	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	Dodoma Jiji - Gwambina	1:0 ✺
07.12.20	Gwambina - Azam	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
11.09.20	Gwambina - Kagera Sugar	0:0

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