The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kagoshima United 52.8%
Draw 27%
Azul Claro Numazu 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
27.3%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
27.1%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kagoshima United's performance.
Azul Claro Numazu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Azul Claro Numazu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kagoshima United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Azul Claro Numazu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Kagoshima United - Azul Claro Numazu Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kagoshima United (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Kagoshima United will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fujishima E. (G) 44. Aoki Y. 29. Okazaki M. 7. Chibu K. 3. Sugii H. 14. Yoshio K. 27. Yamaguchi T. 6. Watanabe E. 11. Fukuda M. 18. Kawamura K. 9. Rodrigo Angelotti
1. Watanabe K. (G) 22. Ichimaru D. 4. Rissi G. 15. Nakamura Y. 16. Mihara S. 18. Sugai T. 8. Suzuki K. 13. Watai K. 17. Fujii K. 9. Suzuki W. I. 24. Yanagimachi K.
Substitutes
8. Fujimura K. 19. Inaba S. 26. Kawashima K. 13. Kondo Y. 92. Nduka C. 10. Take S. 73. Tanaka T. 16. Yamauchi K. (G) 36. Yonezawa R.
20. Kawamata K. 21. Maeda H. (G) 37. Nakano H. 7. Numata K. 19. Saito M. 10. Sato N. 14. Tokunaga K. 6. Toyama H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Yamaguchi T. ⚽, Sugii H. (A),
38', Chibu K. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Yanagimachi K. ⚽, Suzuki K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Suzuki W. I. ↓, Kawamata K. ↑,
66', Fujii K. ↓, Saito M. ↑,
69', Fukuda M. ↓, Tanaka T. ↑,
75', Watanabe E. ↓, Inaba S. ↑,
75', Rodrigo Angelotti ↓, Nduka C. ↑,
79', Suzuki K. ↓, Nakano H. ↑,
79', Sugai T. ↓, Toyama H. ↑,
80', Yamaguchi T. 🟨,
85', Yoshio K. ↓, Yonezawa R. ↑,
85', Kawamura K. ↓, Kondo Y. ↑,
90', Watai K. ↓, Numata K. ↑,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kagoshima United won 4.
Recent matches Kagoshima United is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Azul Claro Numazu is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recently Azul Claro Numazu have a series of home games.
In this match Kagoshima United is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Kagoshima United won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.6:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Kagoshima United won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 2.3:0.8).