The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Osaka 36.4%
Draw 31.4%
Azul Claro Numazu 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
26.6%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
26.1%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Osaka's form might have worsened.
Azul Claro Numazu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Azul Claro Numazu's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Azul Claro Numazu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Osaka - Azul Claro Numazu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yamamoto T. (G) 15. Kurosaki H. 3. Kawakami R. 23. Akiyama T. 16. Hashimoto R. 24. Sato R. 33. Woo S. 27. Sawazaki R. 11. Tone R. 17. Wada H. 9. Shimada T.
1. Watanabe K. (G) 22. Ichimaru D. 5. Shinozaki T. 4. Rissi G. 16. Mihara S. 7. Numata K. 14. Tokunaga K. 10. Sato N. 8. Suzuki K. 20. Kawamata K. 17. Fujii K.
Substitutes
68. Hirabuki G. (G) 20. Horikoshi D. 7. Kitsui T. 5. Minakuchi Y. 39. Mochizuki S. 51. Nishimura M. 14. Sumida S. 6. Tachino S. 37. Tsutsumi S.
28. Inoue K. 21. Maeda H. (G) 2. Miyawaki S. 37. Nakano H. 19. Saito M. 18. Sugai T. 9. Suzuki W. I. 24. Yanagimachi K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Wada H. 🟨,
38', Fujii K. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Wada H. ↓, Kitsui T. ↑,
46', Kurosaki H. ↓, Tachino S. ↑,
46', 🟨,
46', Suzuki K. 🟨,
50', 1 - 0, Tone R. ⚽,
57', 2 - 0, Sawazaki R. ⚽,
66', Tone R. ↓, Tsutsumi S. ↑,
67', Suzuki K. ↓, Saito M. ↑,
67', Fujii K. ↓, Nakano H. ↑,
79', Sato N. ↓, Yanagimachi K. ↑,
79', Kawamata K. ↓, Suzuki W. I. ↑,
81', Shimada T. ↓, Mochizuki S. ↑,
86', Mihara S. ↓, Miyawaki S. ↑,
87', Sato R. ↓, Nishimura M. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Nishimura M. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 1, Yanagimachi K. ⚽, Nakano H. (A),
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 15).
Recent matches Osaka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Azul Claro Numazu is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Azul Claro Numazu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Azul Claro Numazu have a series of home games.
In this match Osaka is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Osaka won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
Japan
Watch
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Yamamoto T. (G) 
Woo S. 
Rissi G. 
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