Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty)


	Kairat		Aktobe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.9
	1.84	3.47	4.24
	1.84	3.44	3.95	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.8	3.55	4.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.07)	3.42 ↑ (3.29)	4.11 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat
50.5%

Draw
27%

Aktobe
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kairat's performance.

Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Kairat - Aktobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Aktobe will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anarbekov T. (C) 20. Tapalov E. 25. Shirobokov A. 45. Lucas Africo 3. Mata L. 18. Glazer D. 13. Oksanen J. 24. Mrynskiy A. 7. Jorginho 19. Jukkola O. 9. Edmilson	16. Zarutskiy A. (G) 23. Erlanov T. 18. Ordets I. (C) 27. Dosmagambetov T. 31. Tanzharikov A. 21. Alvarez P. 30. Korzun N. 10. Zeljkovic A. 12. Topalov D. 7. Sosah D. 11. Shushenachev A.
Substitutes
23. Bagdat R. 8. Baybek O. 30. Buch D. (G) 57. Duisenbek G. 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 5. Kurgin L. 14. Martynovich A. 99. Ricardinho 6. Sadybekov A. 10. Satpaev D. 11. Zeballos S.	42. Baydavletov A. 5. Kairov B. 80. Kenesov A. 29. Kikbaev M. 19. Laturnus V. 17. Nani 14. Pibe 22. Seydakhmet E. 1. Trofimets I. (G)
Coaches
Urazbakhtin R.	Kostov N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Lucas Africo 🟨,
45+3', Erlanov T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Zeljkovic A. 🟨,
61', Jukkola O. 🟨,
64', Edmilson ↓, Satpaev D. ↑,
70', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Nani ↑,
71', Jukkola O. ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
71', Glazer D. ↓, Kasabulat D. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Satpaev D. ⚽,
81', Dosmagambetov T. ↓, Pibe ↑,
84', Shushenachev A. 🟨,
84', Tapalov E. 🟨,
86', Korzun N. ↓, Laturnus V. ↑,
89', Jorginho ↓, Zeballos S. ↑,
90+2', Kasabulat D. 🟨,
90+8', Trofimets I. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 3.

In recent matches, Kairat has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Recently, Kairat has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kairat is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 48:26. (average 2.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kairat won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 34:11. (average 2.8:0.9).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Kairat Almaty: 23.08%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty	27	18	6	3	52:20	32	60
4	Aktobe	27	13	6	8	41:32	9	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Premier League
07.03.26	Altai Semey - Kairat	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Super Cup
28.02.26	Kairat - Tobol Kostanay	2:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.26	Rubin Kazan - Kairat	Canceled ✺
13.02.26	Orenburg - Kairat	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Arsenal - Kairat	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WL?WL
- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
07.03.26	Aktobe - Tobol Kostanay	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.02.26	Ufa - Aktobe	4:1 ✺
18.01.26	Aktobe - Baník Ostrava	0:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.10.25	Aktobe - Ordabasy	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Astana - Aktobe	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
14.09.25	Kairat - Aktobe	1:0
30.05.25	Aktobe - Kairat	1:2
Kazakh Super Cup
22.02.25	Kairat - Aktobe	2:0
Kazakh Premier League
04.10.24	Aktobe - Kairat	2:1
20.04.24	Kairat - Aktobe	1:3
06.08.23	Aktobe - Kairat	4:2
14.05.23	Kairat - Aktobe	2:1

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