The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aktobe 28.2%
Draw 28.4%
Ordabasy 43.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.3%
29.5%
43.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.7%
28.9%
44.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Aktobe - Ordabasy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 0.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Aktobe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Aktobe has had a series of away games.
Ordabasy might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Aktobe won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:12. (average 2:1.5).
Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now
Ordabasy: 69.49%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Ordabasy
26
19
4
3
51:18
33
61
5
Aktobe
26
12
6
8
38:31
7
42
Last Results with these Odds
Ordabasy - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.16%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.