Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Astana Arena (Astana)

Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Kairat		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.75	1.4
	7.9	4.8	1.42
	8	4.95	1.43
	6.52	4.73	1.5	Watch
	7	4.5	1.44
	7.26	4.87	1.46
	6.66	5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.26 ↑ (6.13)	4.8 ↑ (4.42)	1.44 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat
13.2%

Draw
20%

Olympiacos Piraeus
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.6%

21.7%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

21.3%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.1%	7.1%	78.8%

Kairat - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Olympiacos (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Kairat (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (1.97) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Olympiacos Piraeus will win (66 of 83 users predict this - 79.52%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.84% – 88.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympiacos Piraeus will win (29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Kairat (votes: 4 - 11.8%). Olympiacos (votes: 30 - 88.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Anarbekov T. (C) 20. Tapalov E. 25. Shirobokov A. 80. Sorokin E. 3. Mata L. 18. Glazer D. 17. Baybek O. 24. Mrynskiy A. 99. Ricardinho 10. Zaria G. 26. Edmilson Santos	88. Tzolakis K. (G) 23. Rodinei (C) 4. Biancone G. 5. Pirola L. 3. Ortega F. 32. Hezze S. 96. Mouzakitis C. 56. Podence D. 22. Chiquinho 10. Martins G. 9. El Kaabi A.
Substitutes
41. Buch D. (G) 55. Gromyko V. 7. Jorginho 82. Kalmyrza S. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 5. Kurgin L. 14. Martynovich A. 6. Sadybekov A. 33. Stanojev J. 87. Tuyakbaev A.	31. Botis N. (G) 20. Costinha 14. Garcia D. 6. Kalogeropoulos A. 61. Kouraklis G. (G) 8. Nascimento D. 70. Onyemaechi B. 80. Pnevmonidis S. 16. Scipioni L. 27. Strefezza G. 99. Taremi M. 11. Yaremchuk R.
Coaches
Urazbakhtin R.	Mendilibar J. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Hezze S. 🟨,
35', Biancone G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ricardinho ↓, Jorginho ↑,
46', Zaria G. ↓, Gromyko V. ↑,
62', Tapalov E. ↓, Tuyakbaev A. ↑,
62', Chiquinho ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
62', Podence D. ↓, Strefezza G. ↑,
70', Tuyakbaev A. 🟨,
73', 0 - 1, Martins G. ⚽, Taremi M. (A),
82', Baybek O. ↓, Kasabulat D. ↑,
82', Edmilson Santos ↓, Stanojev J. ↑,
84', Hezze S. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Astana Arena.

Recent performances by Kairat have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Olympiacos is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Olympiacos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Olympiacos is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Kairat: Arad O. (Injury) Elder Santana (Knee Injury) Joao Paulo (Knee Injury) Satpaev D. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Olympiacos: Angelakis K. (Inactive) Cabella R. (Inactive) Gustavo Mancha (Inactive) Paschalakis A. (Calf Injury) Retsos P. (Injury) Vezo R. (Inactive) Yazici Y. (Inactive)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Copenhagen - Kairat	3:2 ✺
05.11.25	Inter Milan - Kairat	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.10.25	Kairat - Astana	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Kairat - Paphos	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
17.10.25	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTTW
- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
06.12.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - OFI	3:0 ✺
Greek Cup
03.12.25	Ellas Syros - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:5 ✺
Greek Super League
30.11.25	Panetolikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Real Madrid	3:4 ✺
Greek Super League
22.11.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Atromitos Athens	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLW

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