Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Astana Arena (Astana) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	16:30	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	12:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	19:30	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	02:30	Stan Sport
Belgium	16:30	Pickx+ Sports 1, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:30	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	12:30	Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	17:30	Max Sport 4
Canada	10:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	12:30	ESPN Premium
China	23:30	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	10:30	ESPN
Cyprus	17:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	16:30	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	16:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	17:30	MTV Katsomo+
France	16:30	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Germany	16:30	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:30	COSMOTE Sport 1
Hong Kong	23:30	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	16:30	RTL+, Sport 1
India	21:00	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	22:30	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	17:30	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	16:30	Sky Sport Calcio
Kazakhstan	21:30	Kazakhstan TV
Kenya	18:30	Gotv
Kosovo	16:30	Arena Premium 1
Laos	22:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	23:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Mexico	09:30	Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	16:30	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	04:30	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	16:30	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte
North Macedonia	16:30	TDM Desporto
Norway	16:30	TV2 Play
Pakistan	20:30	Tapmad
Peru	10:30	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	16:30	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	15:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	17:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 2
Russia	18:30	Okko Sport
Serbia	16:30	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	23:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	16:30	Voyo
South Africa	17:30	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	00:30	SPOTV Now
Sweden	16:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	16:30	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Zoom, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	20:30	Futbol TV
Thailand	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	18:30	Tabii
Ukraine	17:30	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	15:30	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 9, Virgin Media More
Uruguay	12:30	Disney+
Usa	10:30	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Venezuela	11:30	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	22:30	ON Plus


	Kairat		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.75	1.4
	7.9	4.8	1.42
	8	4.95	1.43
	6.52	4.73	1.5	Watch
	7	4.5	1.44
	7.26	4.87	1.46
	6.66	5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.26 ↑ (6.13)	4.8 ↑ (4.42)	1.44 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat
13.2%

Draw
20%

Olympiacos Piraeus
66.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.6%

21.7%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

21.3%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.1%	7.1%	78.8%

Kairat - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Olympiacos (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Kairat (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (1.97) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Olympiacos Piraeus will win (66 of 83 users predict this - 79.52%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.84% – 88.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Olympiacos Piraeus will win (29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Kairat (votes: 4 - 11.8%). Olympiacos (votes: 30 - 88.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Anarbekov T. (C) 20. Tapalov E. 25. Shirobokov A. 80. Sorokin E. 3. Mata L. 18. Glazer D. 17. Baybek O. 24. Mrynskiy A. 99. Ricardinho 10. Zaria G. 26. Edmilson Santos	88. Tzolakis K. (G) 23. Rodinei (C) 4. Biancone G. 5. Pirola L. 3. Ortega F. 32. Hezze S. 96. Mouzakitis C. 56. Podence D. 22. Chiquinho 10. Martins G. 9. El Kaabi A.
Substitutes
41. Buch D. (G) 55. Gromyko V. 7. Jorginho 82. Kalmyrza S. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 5. Kurgin L. 14. Martynovich A. 6. Sadybekov A. 33. Stanojev J. 87. Tuyakbaev A.	31. Botis N. (G) 20. Costinha 14. Garcia D. 6. Kalogeropoulos A. 61. Kouraklis G. (G) 8. Nascimento D. 70. Onyemaechi B. 80. Pnevmonidis S. 16. Scipioni L. 27. Strefezza G. 99. Taremi M. 11. Yaremchuk R.
Coaches
Urazbakhtin R.	Mendilibar J. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Hezze S. 🟨,
35', Biancone G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ricardinho ↓, Jorginho ↑,
46', Zaria G. ↓, Gromyko V. ↑,
62', Tapalov E. ↓, Tuyakbaev A. ↑,
62', Chiquinho ↓, Taremi M. ↑,
62', Podence D. ↓, Strefezza G. ↑,
70', Tuyakbaev A. 🟨,
73', 0 - 1, Martins G. ⚽, Taremi M. (A),
82', Baybek O. ↓, Kasabulat D. ↑,
82', Edmilson Santos ↓, Stanojev J. ↑,
84', Hezze S. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Astana Arena.

Recent performances by Kairat have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Olympiacos is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Olympiacos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Olympiacos is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Kairat: Arad O. (Injury) Elder Santana (Knee Injury) Joao Paulo (Knee Injury) Satpaev D. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Olympiacos: Angelakis K. (Inactive) Cabella R. (Inactive) Gustavo Mancha (Inactive) Paschalakis A. (Calf Injury) Retsos P. (Injury) Vezo R. (Inactive) Yazici Y. (Inactive)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Copenhagen - Kairat	3:2 ✺
05.11.25	Inter Milan - Kairat	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
26.10.25	Kairat - Astana	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Kairat - Paphos	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
17.10.25	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTTW
- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
06.12.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - OFI	3:0 ✺
Greek Cup
03.12.25	Ellas Syros - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:5 ✺
Greek Super League
30.11.25	Panetolikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Real Madrid	3:4 ✺
Greek Super League
22.11.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Atromitos Athens	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLW

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