Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Kairat		Astana

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.12	3.2	3.14
	1.89	3.56	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	2.09	3.44	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.21)	3.31 ↓ (3.32)	3.33 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat
44.8%

Draw
27.7%

Astana
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

27.7%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

27.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astana than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Kairat - Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anarbekov T. (G) 24. Mrynskiy A. 14. Martynovich A. (C) 44. Lucas Africo 5. Kurgin L. 6. Sadybekov A. 13. Oksanen J. 19. Jukkola O. 7. Jorginho 10. Satpaev D. 9. Edmilson	74. Seysen M. (G) 2. Bartolec K. 6. Kasym A. 11. Vorogovskiy Y. 77. Shomko D. 8. Basic I. 7. Karaman D. 10. Tomasov M. (C) 9. Islamkhan B. 47. Abrayev M. 72. Basmanov S.
Substitutes
27. Abish M. 23. Bagdat R. 8. Baybek O. 30. Buch D. (G) 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 99. Ricardinho 25. Shirobokov A. 20. Tapalov E. 17. Tuyakbaev A. 11. Zeballos S.	22. Abdurasulov A. 4. Anuarov S. 15. Beysebekov A. 93. Condric J. (G) 81. Karimov R. 99. Karpikov D. (G) 91. Token A. 52. Tokenov T. 82. Valikhan R. 19. Zhaksylyk N.
Coaches
Urazbakhtin R.	Babayan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
5', Shomko D. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Jorginho ⚽, Edmilson (A),
22', 2 - 0, Satpaev D. ⚽, Jukkola O. (A),
41', 3 - 0, Jorginho ⚽, Satpaev D. (A),
45+1', 4 - 0, Martynovich A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Abrayev M. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
46', Islamkhan B. ↓, Beysebekov A. ↑,
74', Karaman D. 🟨,
74', Mrynskiy A. ↓, Tapalov E. ↑,
75', Jukkola O. ↓, Zeballos S. ↑,
77', Oksanen J. 🟨,
80', Karaman D. ↓, Anuarov S. ↑,
84', Sadybekov A. ↓, Baybek O. ↑,
84', Satpaev D. ↓, Bagdat R. ↑,
84', Edmilson ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
87', Basmanov S. ↓, Abdurasulov A. ↑,
87', Tomasov M. ↓, Zhaksylyk N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 2.

Kairat has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Astana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kairat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kairat could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kairat won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Kairat Almaty: 23.08%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty	27	18	6	3	52:20	32	60
3	FC Astana	26	14	6	6	43:27	16	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
Club Friendly
28.03.26	Zenit - Kairat	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
21.03.26	Zhetysu - Kairat	0:0 ✺
16.03.26	Kairat - Aktobe	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Altai Semey - Kairat	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Super Cup
28.02.26	Kairat - Tobol Kostanay	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWWL
- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
20.03.26	Astana - Tobol Kostanay	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Kaisar - Astana	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Astana - Zhetysu	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.02.26	Zhejiang Professional - Astana	2:2 ✺
10.02.26	Spartak Moscow - Astana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
26.10.25	Kairat - Astana	1:1
02.03.25	Astana - Kairat	1:1
01.09.24	Kairat - Astana	0:1
29.06.24	Astana - Kairat	1:3
27.08.23	Kairat - Astana	1:0
16.04.23	Astana - Kairat	0:3
15.10.22	Kairat - Astana	0:4

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