Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Karasai Stadium (Petropavl)

Referee: Tevyashov D. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Kyzylzhar		Kairat

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.00	3.60	1.55
	5.15	3.5	1.62	Watch
	5.38	3.79	1.60
	5.28	3.49	1.64	Watch
	5	3.4	1.62
	5.63	3.67	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (4.32)	3.58 ↓ (3.67)	1.61 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyzylzhar
17.5%

Draw
25.6%

Kairat
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

25.1%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

24.6%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyzylzhar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kyzylzhar - Kairat Predictions

Users Predictions: Kairat will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Celeadnic D. (G) 11. Cheredinov A. 23. Piscevic N. 26. Kerimzhanov O. 22. Kozlenko A. 9. Adil A. 7. Muldinov T. 19. Krajisnik D. 8. Makarenko E. (C) 13. Bahoken S. 99. Beugre E.	1. Anarbekov T. (G) 24. Mrynskiy A. 14. Martynovich A. (C) 44. Lucas Africo 3. Mata L. 11. Zeballos S. 7. Jorginho 13. Oksanen J. 19. Jukkola O. 28. Gual M. 9. Edmilson
Substitutes
10. Bjartalid J. 28. Chirkov R. 17. Eleukin M. 39. Erniyazov S. (G) 27. Gubarev N. 21. Kurbanov T. 88. Pertsukh Y. 32. Petrov V. (G) 5. Slambekov D. 79. Valgushev G.	8. Baybek O. 81. Bekbolat I. 18. Glazer D. 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 5. Kurgin L. 6. Sadybekov A. 25. Shirobokov A. 20. Tapalov E. 17. Tuyakbaev A.
Coaches
Curcic M.	Urazbakhtin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
4', Krajisnik D. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Oksanen J. ⚽, Jukkola O. (A),
13', 0 - 2, Gual M. ⚽, Mrynskiy A. (A),
22', 1 - 2, Bahoken S. ⚽, Muldinov T. (A),
29', Muldinov T. 🟨,
33', Oksanen J. ↓, Sadybekov A. ↑,
39', 2 - 2, Beugre E. (Penalty Awarded),
41', Makarenko E. 🟨,
45+1', Edmilson 🟨,
45+4', Jorginho 🟨,
45+5', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Edmilson ↓, Kasabulat D. ↑,
47', Kozlenko A. 🟨,
48', 🟨,
57', Muldinov T. ↓, Bjartalid J. ↑,
61', Zeballos S. ↓, Tuyakbaev A. ↑,
63', Bahoken S. ↓, Pertsukh Y. ↑,
70', Kerimzhanov O. 🟨,
77', 🟥,
78', 2 - 3, Jorginho (Penalty Awarded),
79', Jukkola O. ↓, Kurgin L. ↑,
80', Pertsukh Y. 🟨,
82', Beugre E. 🟨,
85', Lucas Africo 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 4, Mata L. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 0.

Kyzylzhar is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kairat has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Kairat is the team to beat.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Kyzylzhar won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kyzylzhar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Kairat Almaty: 29.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty	26	17	6	3	51:20	31	57
14	Kyzylzhar	26	6	6	14	26:40	-14	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kyzylzhar
Kazakh Premier League
17.06.26	Kairat - Kyzylzhar	3:0 ✺
13.06.26	Tobol Kostanay - Kyzylzhar	2:0 ✺
28.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Zhetysu	3:2 ✺
23.05.26	Aktobe - Kyzylzhar	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Altai Semey	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWTL
- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Premier League
17.06.26	Kairat - Kyzylzhar	3:0 ✺
13.06.26	Kairat - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
28.05.26	Ordabasy - Kairat	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Kairat - Kaisar	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Zhenis - Kairat	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
17.06.26	Kairat - Kyzylzhar	3:0
17.10.25	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	0:1
21.06.25	Kairat - Kyzylzhar	1:0
17.08.24	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	0:1
02.03.24	Kairat - Kyzylzhar	2:1
02.07.23	Kyzylzhar - Kairat	2:1
24.06.23	Kairat - Kyzylzhar	3:0

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