Match Info

Date: 12 September 2020, Saturday


	Gnistan		Kajaani

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.6	2.4
	2.6	3.6	2.25
	2.7	3.55	2.3
	2.6	3.45	2.39
	2.72	3.69	2.5
	2.62	3.5	2.4
	2.61	3.68	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.76)	3.58 ↓ (3.68)	2.38 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gnistan
35%

Draw
25.9%

Kajaani
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

25.2%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

18.3%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Kajaani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gnistan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kajaani than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kajaani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gnistan - Kajaani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group) and 9 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group)).

Gnistan is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kajaani is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gnistan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Gnistan
Finnish Ykkonen
06.09.20	FF Jaro - Gnistan	2:2 ✺
30.08.20	Gnistan - VPS Vaasa	1:2 ✺
22.08.20	KPV Kokkola - Gnistan	6:1 ✺
16.08.20	Gnistan - MYPA	3:2 ✺
10.08.20	Ekenäs - Gnistan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLLWL
- AC Kajaani
Finnish Ykkonen
05.09.20	Kajaani - MuSa	3:1 ✺
30.08.20	SJK Akatemia - Kajaani	1:4 ✺
22.08.20	Kajaani - KTP Kotka	2:3 ✺
16.08.20	Kajaani - KPV Kokkola	0:1 ✺
09.08.20	VPS Vaasa - Kajaani	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
11.07.20	Kajaani - Gnistan	1:1

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