Match Info

SWEDEN: Allsvenskan - Round 23

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Guldfågeln Arena (Kalmar)

Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 1, TV4 Play


	Kalmar		AIK

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.83	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.87
	4.35	3.5	1.91	Watch
	4.35	3.59	1.9
	4.05	3.46	1.94	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.8
	4.47	3.38	1.82	Watch
	4.3	3.5	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↑ (3.94)	3.43 ↓ (3.65)	1.87 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalmar
22%

Draw
27.6%

AIK
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

26%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

25.3%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Kalmar - AIK Predictions

Users Predictions: AIK will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brolin S. (G) 25. Jansson R. 5. Hallberg M. 6. Sjostedt R. 13. Karlsson J. 23. R. Gojani 29. Romario 10. Skrabb S. (C) 28. Svensson M. 9. Islamovic D. 11. Ring J.	15. Nordfeldt K. (G) 17. Thychosen M. 5. Milosevic A. (C) 4. Papagiannopoulos S. 16. Tiedemann B. 2. Edh E. 8. Valakari O. 7. Saletros A. 24. Dabo L. 10. Celina B. 28. Pittas I.
Substitutes
3. Gersbach A. 12. Inzoudine Y. 7. Jensen K. 30. Kindberg J. (G) 20. Krasniqi D. 18. Kujundzic A. 21. Magashy A. 26. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 19. Ylatupa S.	43. Andersson V. 12. Bjornstrom A. 30. Diawara I. (G) 37. Faqa A. 11. Guidetti J. 3. Isherwood T. 20. Uddenas O. 21. Wilson S.
Coaches
Larsson S.	Thomassen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Valakari O. 🟨,
36', Karlsson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, Valakari O. ⚽, Thychosen M. (A),
57', Skrabb S. ↓, Krasniqi D. ↑,
69', Jansson R. ↓, Motaraghebjafarpour A. ↑,
69', Svensson M. ↓, Jensen K. ↑,
78', Karlsson J. ↓, Magashy A. ↑,
78', Romario ↓, Ylatupa S. ↑,
85', Islamovic D. 🟨,
85', Celina B. ↓, Bjornstrom A. ↑,
85', Pittas I. ↓, Guidetti J. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kalmar won 2.

Recent matches Kalmar is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AIK is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match AIK is a favorite.

There will not play in Kalmar: Gustafsson C. (Injury)

There will not play in AIK: Ali A. (Injury) Besirovic D. (Injury) Ellingsen M. (Injury) Fesshaie A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kalmar: Nilsson V. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Kalmar won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 15-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Kalmar won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalmar FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
15.09.24	Kalmar - Värnamo	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	GAIS - Kalmar	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Kalmar - Malmö	2:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.24	Ängelholm - Kalmar	0:4 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.08.24	Västerås SK - Kalmar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTTWL
- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
15.09.24	AIK - Malmö	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Värnamo - AIK	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	AIK - Brommapojkarna	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Djurgården - AIK	0:2 ✺
11.08.24	AIK - Mjällby	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
07.07.24	AIK - Kalmar	1:2
Svenska Cupen
03.03.24	Kalmar - AIK	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
06.08.23	Kalmar - AIK	1:1
04.06.23	AIK - Kalmar	1:1
07.08.22	Kalmar - AIK	1:0
17.07.22	AIK - Kalmar	1:0
23.09.21	Kalmar - AIK	1:1

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