Match Info

SWEDEN: Allsvenskan - Round 22

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Guldfågeln Arena (Kalmar)

Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 5, TV4 Play


	Kalmar		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	3	Watch
	2.37	3.25	2.87
	2.45	3.4	2.95	Watch
	2.44	3.4	3.03
	2.42	3.32	2.98	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.8
	2.48	3.35	2.83	Watch
	2.4	3.35	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.27)	3.32 ↓ (3.36)	2.92 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalmar
39.2%

Draw
28.5%

Värnamo
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.1%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	11.1%	27.8%

Kalmar - Värnamo Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Kalmar will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Värnamo will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kalmar: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brolin S. (G) 13. Karlsson J. 39. Saetra L. 4. Osuji V. 25. Jansson R. 10. Skrabb S. (C) 29. Romario 23. R. Gojani 11. Ring J. 9. Islamovic D. 28. Svensson M.	39. Andersson V. (G) 20. Winsth F. (C) 5. Larsson V. 15. Steinwender M. 24. Grozdanic E. 28. Junior Adjei F. 11. Wenderson 21. Le Roux L. 14. Engvall G. 9. Kalu J. 10. Zeljkovic A.
Substitutes
3. Gersbach A. 5. Hallberg M. 7. Jensen K. 30. Kindberg J. (G) 20. Krasniqi D. 21. Magashy A. 26. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 6. Sjostedt R. 19. Ylatupa S.	17. Bozicevic F. 19. Bustos M. 32. Johansson C. 23. Kotto S. 16. Lohikangas A. 6. Nasstrom H. 2. Rapp J. 1. Rasheed J. (G) 25. Voelkerling Persson J.
Coaches
Larsson S.	Sibila F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Saetra L. ⚽, Skrabb S. (A),
45+4', Osuji V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Osuji V. ↓, Sjostedt R. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Larsson V. ⚽, Junior Adjei F. (A),
58', Zeljkovic A. 🟨,
62', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Bustos M. ↑,
65', Saetra L. ↓, Hallberg M. ↑,
65', Jansson R. ↓, Motaraghebjafarpour A. ↑,
73', Engvall G. ↓, Voelkerling Persson J. ↑,
73', Winsth F. ↓, Lohikangas A. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Islamovic D. ⚽,
76', Svensson M. ↓, Magashy A. ↑,
80', Ring J. 🟨,
80', Le Roux L. 🟨,
89', Le Roux L. ↓, Nasstrom H. ↑,
89', Ring J. ↓, Jensen K. ↑,
89', Junior Adjei F. ↓, Kotto S. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Magashy A. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 14 in the zone Allsvenskan (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kalmar won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Kalmar have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Kalmar: Gustafsson C. (Injury) Jansson R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kalmar: Nilsson V. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Kalmar won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Kalmar won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalmar FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
31.08.24	GAIS - Kalmar	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Kalmar - Malmö	2:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.24	Ängelholm - Kalmar	0:4 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.08.24	Västerås SK - Kalmar	2:1 ✺
11.08.24	Sirius - Kalmar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTWLL
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan
31.08.24	Värnamo - AIK	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Häcken - Värnamo	1:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.24	Jönköpings Södra - Värnamo	1:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.08.24	Värnamo - Hammarby	0:3 ✺
10.08.24	IFK Göteborg - Värnamo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
19.05.24	Värnamo - Kalmar	0:2
29.10.23	Kalmar - Värnamo	1:3
22.05.23	Värnamo - Kalmar	0:1
15.10.22	Värnamo - Kalmar	1:3
27.06.22	Kalmar - Värnamo	1:0
Club Friendly
26.03.22	Kalmar - Värnamo	3:0
Svenska Cupen
20.02.16	Kalmar - Värnamo	2:1

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