Match Info

Superettan - Round 7

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Guldfågeln Arena (Kalmar)

Referee: Alknas F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 5, Max, TV4 Play


	Kalmar		Trelleborg

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.33	4.5
	1.7	3.7	4.2
	1.6	4.2	5	Watch
	1.75	4	4.65
	1.61	4.18	4.92
	1.7	3.5	4.4
	1.62	4.05	5.1	Watch
	1.6	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.52)	4.02 ↓ (4.3)	4.72 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalmar
56.8%

Draw
23.3%

Trelleborg
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

21.6%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

20.8%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Trelleborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kalmar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kalmar - Trelleborg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalmar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kalmar will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brolin S. (G) 4. Jansson R. 39. Saetra L. 47. Keita A. 3. Overby S. 7. Atanga I. 23. R. Gojani (C) 19. Ylatupa S. 21. Magashy A. 9. Stolt M. 11. Olusanya A.	1. Larsen A. (G) 20. Horberg F. 19. Karlsson T. 3. Weberg C. (C) 15. Godwin E. 16. Asani A. 24. Christiansson V. 7. Andersson J. 11. Culum A. 17. Bohman F. 22. Martinsson F.
Substitutes
16. Andersson W. 14. Djoro A. 30. Kindberg J. (G) 18. Kujundzic A. 26. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 33. Rosenqvist C. 28. Sabriye A.	21. Alievski E. 26. Kack J. 25. Lofberg E. 12. Nilsson M. (G) 5. Ogwuche A. 4. Rehn A. 8. Ruuska O.
Coaches
Koskela T.	Jacobsson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Stolt M. ⚽, Overby S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Atanga I. ↓, Sabriye A. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Ylatupa S. ⚽,
67', Andersson J. ↓, Ruuska O. ↑,
67', Martinsson F. ↓, Alievski E. ↑,
81', Bohman F. ↓, Kack J. ↑,
82', Asani A. 🟨,
86', Godwin E. ↓, Ogwuche A. ↑,
87', Stolt M. ↓, Rosenqvist C. ↑,
87', Magashy A. ↓, Andersson W. ↑,
90+1', Ylatupa S. ↓, Djoro A. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 5.

Kalmar has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Trelleborg has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Kalmar is a strong favorite.

We predict that Kalmar will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalmar won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalmar FF
Swedish Superettan
06.05.25	Västerås SK - Kalmar	2:2 ✺
27.04.25	Helsingborg - Kalmar	1:5 ✺
20.04.25	Kalmar - Östersund	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Oddevold - Kalmar	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Kalmar - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWWW
- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
05.05.25	Örebro - Trelleborg	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Trelleborg - Varbergs BoIS	0:4 ✺
20.04.25	Trelleborg - Brage	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sandviken - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Umeå - Trelleborg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
19.02.23	Kalmar - Trelleborg	3:2
20.02.22	Kalmar - Trelleborg	2:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
31.10.18	Kalmar - Trelleborg	2:1
22.04.18	Trelleborg - Kalmar	0:1
Svenska Cupen
25.02.18	Kalmar - Trelleborg	2:1
19.02.17	Kalmar - Trelleborg	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.06.12	Kalmar - Trelleborg	N/A

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