Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 1

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Guldfågeln Arena (Kalmar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3


	Kalmar		Västerås SK

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.25
	2.2	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.33	3.3	3.49
	2.23	3.28	3.34
	2.15	3.1	3.25
	2.1	3.36	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.06)	3.27 ↓ (3.43)	3.34 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kalmar
43%

Draw
28.8%

Västerås SK
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

26.9%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Västerås SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Västerås SK than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Kalmar - Västerås SK Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalmar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kalmar will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kindberg J. (G) 4. Jansson R. 20. Dari A. 12. Ravik Z. 2. Larsson V. 5. Hallberg M. (C) 7. Chourak N. 13. Rosenqvist C. 6. Tyren V. 10. Soderback M. 24. Sagoe Jr C.	34. Jager E. (G) 2. Magnusson H. 18. Nsabiyumva F. (C) 21. Wernersson V. 11. Gefvert S. 8. Diagne M. 10. Ring J. 3. Baggesen M. 17. Axel T. 9. Ladefoged M. 5. Gunnarsson K.
Substitutes
1. Brolin S. (G) 70. Chukwuemeka Emeka 14. Imeri E. 11. Olusanya A. 3. Overby S. 23. R. Gojani 28. Sabriye A. 39. Saetra L.	4. Bonde P. 7. Boudah A. 1. Fagerstrom A. (G) 30. Hellisdal M. 15. Karlsson J. 20. Ljungqvist M. 14. Lushaku I. 19. Magnusson J. 24. Tagesson J.
Coaches
Koskela T.	Rubin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Magnusson H. 🟨,
11', 0 - 1, Ravik Z. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Ring J. 🟨,
60', Rosenqvist C. 🟨,
61', Soderback M. ↓, Chukwuemeka Emeka ↑,
61', Hallberg M. ↓, R. Gojani ↑,
74', Baggesen M. ↓, Bonde P. ↑,
75', Gunnarsson K. ↓, Lushaku I. ↑,
75', Ladefoged M. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
75', Dari A. ↓, Saetra L. ↑,
75', Chourak N. ↓, Overby S. ↑,
86', Wernersson V. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
90+4', Ring J. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kalmar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kalmar has had a series of away games.

Kalmar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kalmar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

Vasteras SK: 0.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Vasteras SK	23	10	5	8	34:36	-2	35
13	Kalmar	22	5	4	13	21:36	-15	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kalmar FF
Club Friendly
20.03.26	Malmö - Kalmar	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Halmstad - Kalmar	0:4 ✺
Svenska Cupen
07.03.26	Kalmar - Örgryte	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Värnamo - Kalmar	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Mjällby - Kalmar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWTWL
- Västerås SK FK
Club Friendly
28.03.26	Västerås SK - Sandviken	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Brommapojkarna - Västerås SK	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Västerås SK - Östersund	3:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
09.03.26	Västerås SK - Oddevold	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Häcken - Västerås SK	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
14.09.25	Kalmar - Västerås SK	2:1
06.05.25	Västerås SK - Kalmar	2:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.08.24	Västerås SK - Kalmar	2:1
02.06.24	Kalmar - Västerås SK	0:4

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