Match Info

Date: 31 October 2021, Sunday


	Kaluga		Arsenal 2 Tula

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.4	3.1
	1.9	3.5	3.3
	1.92	3.35	3.2
	1.95	3.24	3.43
	1.93	3.34	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2)	3.37 ↓ (3.57)	3.35 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaluga
46.4%

Draw
26.7%

Arsenal 2 Tula
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

25.1%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

19%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Arsenal 2 Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaluga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal 2 Tula than the current prediction. (-4%)

Kaluga - Arsenal 2 Tula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Kaluga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arsenal 2 Tula has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kaluga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kaluga will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kaluga won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Kaluga won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
21.10.21	Sakhalin - Kaluga	0:1 ✺
19.10.21	Dynamo Vladivostok - Kaluga	0:0 ✺
10.10.21	Kaluga - Salyut Belgorod	2:3 ✺
04.10.21	Dynamo Bryansk - Kaluga	2:0 ✺
30.09.21	Kaluga - Avangard Kursk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLLW
- Arsenal 2 Tula
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
25.10.21	Arsenal 2 Tula - Sokol Saratov	1:4 ✺
19.10.21	Salyut Belgorod - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:1 ✺
12.10.21	Sakhalin - Arsenal 2 Tula	3:2 ✺
09.10.21	Dynamo Vladivostok - Arsenal 2 Tula	3:0 ✺
04.10.21	Arsenal 2 Tula - Avangard Kursk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
29.08.21	Arsenal 2 Tula - Kaluga	1:0
Russian PFL Center
23.04.17	Arsenal 2 Tula - Kaluga	2:0
15.10.16	Kaluga - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:0
30.05.16	Arsenal 2 Tula - Kaluga	0:1
20.07.15	Kaluga - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:1
30.05.15	Arsenal 2 Tula - Kaluga	1:2
11.10.14	Kaluga - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:1

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