Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 14

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Orbita stadium (Kaluga)


	Kaluga		Leningradets

	1	X	2
	3.56	3.1	2.01
	2.62	3.6	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.56)	3.35 ↑ (3.1)	2.09 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaluga
29.4%

Draw
27.1%

Leningradets
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

29.3%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

29.2%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Leningradets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Kaluga - Leningradets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shakerov R. (G) 77. Balashov K. 14. Chibisov S. 33. Daliev D. 10. Grishchenko I. 21. Ilyin S. 2. Krotov S. 17. Matyushenko I. (C) 4. Polev A. 32. Sokolov I. 8. Yugaldin D.	1. Smirnov E. (G) 77. Bachinskiy M. 79. Danilov T. 13. Dushevskiy D. 10. Gorelishvili M. 22. Gutsa A. 44. Kalugin N. (C) 32. Kulishev A. 88. Levin V. 2. Nikolaev S. 9. Pershin M.
Substitutes
7. Akimov E. 23. Boldyrev B. 16. Gritsun P. (G) 18. Ivanushkin L. 19. Kuzin N. Y. 6. Kuzmin A. 12. Lipaev E. 91. Lukinykh E. 3. Osadchiy I. 9. Sukhanov I. 15. Yusupkhodzhaev A.	75. Budachev I. (G) 99. Emelyanov D. 81. Gurenko A. 69. Kozlov D. 4. Kudryavtsev R. 19. Maksetsov A. 17. Muminov I. 55. Sukhanov N. 66. Tereshchuk N. 6. Vyskrebentsev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Yugaldin D. 🟨,
38', Chibisov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Dushevskiy D. ↓, Emelyanov D. ↑,
57', Pershin M. ↓, Gurenko A. ↑,
61', Danilov T. 🟨,
68', Nikolaev S. ↓, Kudryavtsev R. ↑,
69', Ilyin S. ↓, Kuzin N. Y. ↑,
69', Grishchenko I. ↓, Kuzmin A. ↑,
71', Kalugin N. 🟨,
76', 0 - 1, Bachinskiy M. ⚽,
81', Balashov K. ↓, Akimov E. ↑,
85', Gutsa A. ↓, Tereshchuk N. ↑,
89', Yugaldin D. ↓, Boldyrev B. ↑,
90+2', Daliev D. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Kaluga has had a series of home games.

Leningradets might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kaluga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Kaluga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Kaluga	12	0	6	6	6:16	-10	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
17.05.26	Torpedo Miass - Kaluga	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Kaluga - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Kaluga - Volgar Astrakhan	3:3 ✺
26.04.26	Kaluga - Veles Moscow	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Kaluga - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TLTWL
- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
17.05.26	Leningradets - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	0:5 ✺
10.05.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Leningradets	4:1 ✺
03.05.26	Leningradets - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Rodina Moscow 2 - Leningradets	3:4 ✺
19.04.26	Torpedo Miass - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
04.04.26	Leningradets - Kaluga	1:0
03.11.24	Kaluga - Leningradets	1:3
09.09.24	Leningradets - Kaluga	3:3

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